June 8, 2018 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Landing Gear | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | King of the Score | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jericho | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fort Commander | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Retractable | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Forgot to Forget | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | September Surprise | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | It’s Springtime | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dance Like Katie | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Disrespectful | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sturn Donna | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | No Smokin Here | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Prada Storm | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shes Just Capital | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Back At the Ranch | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Case Cracker | 1.40 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | G P’s Girl | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jo Jo’s Wine | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Doggerwinii | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mystique Artiste | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | One Sharp Lady | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Real Story | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | River Evangelist | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Blue Sky Kowboy | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Gain Ground | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Patriot Drive | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | High On Sugar | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Hart Hills Road | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Romeo O Romeo | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Costly King | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Summer Disco | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brave Benny | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mendota | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Good Samurai | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Special Concoction | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Ticker Talker | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Greeley’s Special | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Voluptuous | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Tizway That Way | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Sacred Canyon | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tinderella | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wildwood Scat | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sark Lady | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mission Storm | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sing One Song | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sunset Gables | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brewmistress | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chica Bonita | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Wile E Peyote | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | No Boundaries | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Rio Seco | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 10 | Prairie Rebel | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | G. C. Crackerjack | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Rock Can Tour | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Richiesinthehouse | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | R Fast Life | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Richiesgotswagger | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Harlanday | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | President Elect | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Jeff the Lion | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Little Ike | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Hope N Wishes | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Little Snip | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Devil’s Rose | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Odachi | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | For My Mom | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Northern Alliance | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Real de Jalpa | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Image of Lucy | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Holy Cookie | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Kara’s Angel | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Star of the Market | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Road to Zanzibar | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Bulldog of Bergen | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Im the Best I Know | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | House of Cortez | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Dr. Bombay | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | You Split Tens | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ioya Again | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Next Monday | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Kahn | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Here Comes Kyle | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Z U Soon | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Behind Enemy Lines | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Andrew the Giant | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crown Regent | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.