June 1, 2018 Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | My Candy Crush | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Princesse Rafaela | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Run Chuy Run | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Somewhere | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beach Getaway | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lorrie G | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Girasol | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | How Creative | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Deauville Mist | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sun Dress | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | High Fashion Star | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lady Boots | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gata Salvaje | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Road of Diamonds | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Baytown Macca | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | B. B. Dude | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Devilish Charm | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Carter Cat | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr Zydeco | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mari Chuy | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Commercial Appeal | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Ring Me Up | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Racey Reecey | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Jokasa | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | What What What | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mizzen Air | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Soul | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Served Cold | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rayya | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Devine Mischief | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Bootsy’s Hadenough | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 3 | Kelly’s Humor | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Classy Act | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | America’s Tale | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Turbo Shaft | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Little Havana | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Lynah Rink | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Missseventhirteen | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Bixby Lou | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Krissys Manicure | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Almafuerte | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Beautiful Street | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Divine Queen | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Big Legacy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Chromium | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hugh B. | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mayor Mac | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Midnight Shine | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nifty Fifty | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | He’s All Mine | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Politicallycorrect | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cedar Creek | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Siem Riep | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Western Elegance | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Balandeen | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 5 | American Anthem | 1.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Majestic Affair | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Storm Advisory | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | C Z Rocket | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Unbridled Outlaw | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Zambian Dream (CHI) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Saham | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 10 | Krampus | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 9 | Turf Titan | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Kitten’s Karma | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 11 | Irish Freedom | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Galton | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Niigon’s Glory | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Fifth Title | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Foxtrot Charlie | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Souper Tapit | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Chantmeupbaby | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.