May 28, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Goldtown | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Headfirst | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Youth Gone Wild | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My First Gal | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | J C S Star | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Crater Rim | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Straw Hat | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Galway Girl | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scatback | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I Like Your Style | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Bourbon High | 50.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | I Admire You | 50.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ragnar Lothbrok | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Suas | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Surface Strike | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon Did It | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tenency | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Elios Milos | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | San Juan Diego | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Golconda | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Little Vinnie | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Royal Heist | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Mount Vernon S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Hardly Mate | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Epping Forest | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Frostie Anne | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Fifty Five | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Tizzelle | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Jc’s Shooting Star | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Feeling Bossy | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Table for Six | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Frosty Margarita | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | War Canoe | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Critical Eye S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Highway Star | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Holiday Disguise | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Frost Wise | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Verdant Pastures | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Might Be | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bluegrass Flag | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Playinwiththeboys | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | No Hayne No Gayne | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jcs American Dream | 50.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Saratoga Sass | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Nazay | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tequila Sunday | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Frosted Mint Chip | 3.50 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Courageous Change | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spiral Bound | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jo Jo’s Candy | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Misty Forest | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pretty River | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Catania Rose | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Shineady | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Breeze | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hot Possebility | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Bouwerie S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Orchid Party | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Indy’s Lady | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Midnight Disguise | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pure Silver | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Split Time | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | English Soul | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Quiet | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Letmetakethiscall | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Our Super Nova | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Baby Boss | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aunt Babe | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Mike Lee S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Inalienable Rights | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | A True Giant | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Aveenu Malcainu | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Sea Foam | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Retonova | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Morning Breez | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | What a Catch | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ultimateenticement | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Analyze the Odds | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Presence of Mind | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Kingston S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Black Tide | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Hit It Once More | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Voodoo Song | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Offering Plan | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Kharafa | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Dot Matrix | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tapitation | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Mo Maverick | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Rapt | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fox Rules | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Yummy Bear | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | The Crocheron Kid | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Commentator S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Weekend Hideaway | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Diversify | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Buff | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Can You Diggit | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Pat On the Back | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Papa Shot | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Control Group | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | T Loves a Fight | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Uncle Sigh | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jewel Can Disco | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Zenbennie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Seeking the Blue | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Spring Folly | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Eighth Commandment | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cumbria | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Baronet | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Myhartblongstodady | 4.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tizengaginglysmart | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Unbridledadventure | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Codrington | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Vip Nation | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Goodbye Brockley | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dreams Are Pazible | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.