May 21, 2018 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Snowfly |
2.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Little Matt |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Celtic Scout |
1.40 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Midnight Harbor |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Rarest Quality |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Signature Heart |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
December Red |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Act of Madness |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Watch My Dust |
1.80 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Frogman Mel |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
The Morning Guys |
3.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Little Jimmy |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Smokey Brown |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Pamplona Miss |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
4 |
Wateree |
1.60 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Batmitzvah |
2.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Chocolate Candy |
5.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
8 |
7 |
Precious Pie |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
6 |
A Princess She Is |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
3 |
Sweet Summer Star |
30.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
9 |
8 |
Georgia Bonnet |
30.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
5 |
Morning Wine |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1A |
8 |
Midnight Games |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Ruble |
3.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
3 |
2 |
Runs for Luck |
1.80 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Baduke |
3.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
1 |
Elevated |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
D T Goodie |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
1 |
4 |
Condo King |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
3 |
Afleet Martini |
12.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Philjangle |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Argumentative |
1.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Wise Trade |
2.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Spender |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Bionda |
20.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
9 |
8 |
Pogey |
4.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
4 |
Point Lockout |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
8 |
7 |
Fair Lady Sadie |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
6 |
5 |
Flowers From Tony |
30.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Overdraft |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Hay Baby Girl |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
La Bella Pina |
1.80 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
5 |
Nikki’s Bad |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Ravish |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
6 |
Courageous Lynne |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Enchantabull |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
6 |
Noble Kent |
2.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
1 |
Agent Di Nozzo |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
1A |
8 |
Uncle Woodrow |
2.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
2 |
Castaway |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
6 |
5 |
Ro Bear |
5.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
8 |
9 |
Cousin Stephen |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Battle Tap |
10.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
5 |
4 |
Belly Dancer |
8.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
4 |
3 |
Fleet First |
15.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Appealing Miss |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Little Caton |
1.80 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Saint Bernadine |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Moon Shock |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Balharbour Miss |
2.50 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Resolute Babe |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sprawling |
30.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Faithinvictoria |
12.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Roraima Dos |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Causeway Cutie |
20.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.