May 19, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8A | 8 | Abyssinian | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mertz | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2A | 2 | Romani | 1.40 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ma Meatloaf | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pioneerof New York | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jazzy J | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Emmy Knows | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I Am Sam Samurai | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Blissful Breeze | 1.40 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Regal Dame | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Salty Smile | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dreams Are Free | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Jen | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Honey Graeme | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Priceless | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Northernstreetgal | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Minsky Moment | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Way Early | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Phone Funky Munky | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Siggie | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jupiter Rising | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nutzforboltz | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gio d’Oro | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dynamax Prime | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Engineers Report | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Year of the Kitten | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flat Bill | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Major League | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Toohottoevenspeak | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Holding Aces | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Carradine | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cloud Control | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Missle Bomb | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Casigordo | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Grand Banks | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Single Mission | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Rozina | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mazmania | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | My First Gal | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Celtic Serenade | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chenais’ Posse | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Darlablue | 15.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Justenuff Hope | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flippity Flop | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Possebility | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Princess Alana | 50.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Asphalt Paving | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Daring Destiny | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flatexcel | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shamrocked | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Anything Pazible | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Beyond Honor | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Buss the Bell | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lake Party | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11A | 11 | Grand Sky | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sudden Surprise | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dr. Shane | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Banana Thief | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Asset | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 14A | 14 | Summer Bourbon | 2.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Blue Belt | 3.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bass River Road | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Whatstotalkabout | 4.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rock Doc | 5.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Runaway Lute | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Love That Jazz | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Here Comes Tommy | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mission Command | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Horoscope | 1.20 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gucci Factor | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Calculated Risker | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wicked Macho | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Blugrascat’s Smile | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Evaluator | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Charming Indy | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Holy Week | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Soaring Softly S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Africa (FR) | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | March X Press | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nootka Sound | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Brattata | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Elevenses | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mentality | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mominou | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Coffee Crush | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Strategic Dreams | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Queenofeverything | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Downtown At Noon | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Missbigtimes | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Reata’s Reward | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Take Charge Aubrey | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Trinni Ninja | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Giant’s Vow | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Excommunicate | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Party in the Sand | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.