May 19, 2018 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Making a Marc | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Achikulak | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bayful | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Switheral | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Buck Snort | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Proquestor | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Crown Regent | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Speared | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Case Cracker | 1.40 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Acrobatic Ally | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Back At the Ranch | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | G P’s Girl | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Buch of Daisies | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Descarado | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Surprenante | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Glitterati Gal | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Devine | 1.40 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky At Justice | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dancing Lass | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Queen Jeanne | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silver Skyler | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blue Beret | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Im the Best I Know | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wile E Peyote | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our Thomas | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bulldog of Bergen | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Close Behind | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | City Position | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Here Comes Kyle | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Red Prince | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Altered Mind | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dark Bloom | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mongolian Time | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Americanperfection | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Running Vicky | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | She’s Fine Tuned | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kuringai | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Bold Cat | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | All Call | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | West Village | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dancing Rock | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Dart | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Prue | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mendota | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Gift | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Storming the Beach | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Orcus | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Arlington Matron S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Con Te Partiro | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Apologynotaccepted | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Daddy’s Boo | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Moonlit Garden | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kyllachy Queen (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Babybluesbdancing | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Princess La Quinta | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Felt in Pocket | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Senor Blanco | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Landing Gear | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sacred Legacy | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gran Duque | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | All Strikes | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maxus | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Party On Dude | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bartbaalu | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alwaysmypleasure | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Na Pali Spirit | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Upstage | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Something Kinky | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kool Kate | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jinx Johnson | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Air Turbulence | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Windy City Girl | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chlobee | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pura Lica | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Real de Jalpa | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.