May 17, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Raven Creek | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Croissant | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Drizzy | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vutzak | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Uh Oh Baby | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brave Helios | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mischievous Song | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Empress of Lov | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sapphire Kid | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wampus | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Millie Joel | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Instinctual Kash | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Rejoyce and Sing | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Takahiro’s Dream | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Six Pack Gal | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Settle It | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Awepollonia | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ron’s Cat | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jellybeankristine | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rolinga | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Derby Luck | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Swing Thoughts | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lovely Linda | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Dizzy Diva | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Atrevida | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Reinahermosa | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Leia | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Asem | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Crazy Uncle Rick | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Giddymeister | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Move Over (GB) | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Calexman | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Axelrod | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Armour Plate | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Graycaster | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Heartfullofstars | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mojgan | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Now Blessed | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jest a Princess | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tandalicious | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Angelic | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Innocent One | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smart Dorie | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | She Fox | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Tangled Up in Ju | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Ashlyn | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Time and Chance | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Revenue Virginius | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cioppino Pasadino | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Adios Cali | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Scathing | 4.50 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sharona Sunset | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | It’s Alexus | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Ladybug | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gia Lula | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Navajo Dreamer (IRE) | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Convince | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | One Upper | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tiz Goldilux | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | She’s Legit | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | True Testament | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | No Wine Untasted | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Strengthinnumbers | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.