May 17, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Forty Fathoms | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Twistcat Candy | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Flying Liberty | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Architectural | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Salty Kinda Dog | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wildcat Saint | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mongolian Party | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Copper Vessel | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ukulele | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ms Meshak | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Heavens Pulpit | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smartyboots | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | High Candy | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Just Say Lucky | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gracias Adios | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Miss Jak | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kathy’s Clown | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Cousin Martha | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Whiteheelgirl | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cotton Tooyah | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Yes Darlin | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lunch Break | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Kantharos | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jersey Street | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big City Heart | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Tbone | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sailer’s Companion | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | J J Junior | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Graydar’s Resolve | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Coniston | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Allurstra | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Toupha | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Nunc Pro Tunc | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dynamic Dancer | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Little Toe | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sensational Sam | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Simmardstrike | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz From Boston | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Green Mansions | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Silver Wings Reven | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nobodyknowsnothin | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Frenchmen Street | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Visions of You | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wellwest | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Off the Mark | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Particularity | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sarasota County | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Light Breeze | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Little Shackleford | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Travy Boy | 0.60 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | High Mischief | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Cape Marco Drive | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | City Edition | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Kaufy Buzz | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Kanaris | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Beneficiary | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Musical Heart | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Salute the Colonel | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Erasmo’s Dream | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Fire On Fire | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | The Great Scatsby | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Archer Road | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 2 | Adonis Creed (FR) | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 5 | Gray Beau | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 4 | Local Hero | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 3 | Oh My Warrior | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Bingo Kitten | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Joshua’s Comprise | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Fundy’s Tide | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Manolete | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chatiment | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dash of Dazzle | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Barefoot Cove | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Motown Man | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nonna’s Boy | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Kitten | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Charlie the Greek | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Online | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | R Cat Daddy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Zitman | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Hot and Heavy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 8 | Big Boy Bruno | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Seuss | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | K D’s Cat Bird | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Giant’s Voice | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Good and Proper | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Martini Kid | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | Starship Frontier | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Over Limit | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.