May 16, 2018 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Coleyville | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bourbon Extension | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Silent Blaze | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Track D Gold | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Analyzer | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pool Boy | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Wave Dancer | 1.40 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wild Honey | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Moon Over Victoria | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sentimental Lady | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gal in the Forest | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tres Bien | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Reconsidered | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Handsome Like Me | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Boyhood Dream | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Crumlin Night | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rock the House | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Absolution | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Iceberg Alley | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miracle Silver | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Valiant Flame | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Phil in the Blank | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Be the Change | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Executive Five | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flashy Margaritta | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Street Tail | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Snowy Legacy | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blutarsky | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tobruk | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Donnas Sweet Heart | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Midnight Brew | 1.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Show Shape | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dolly Stormy | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cape Mist | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Allwehaveisnow | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | This Is the Way | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Flashy Patch | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Executive Sight | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Split My Pants | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Napayshni | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nupogodi | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Front Nine | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spanish Express | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tale of Ronin | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Holtz | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Golden Exchange | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Marselan | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Holysnapeneyeballs | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Classic Daniel | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cepelinas | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jimbo Five | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bartman | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Silent Oaks | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Gimbala | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hurricane Emily | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Forest Halo | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Wee Miss Dorothy | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Silver and Starch | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Cawaja Time | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sail At Noon | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Silent Gold | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Rebel | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.