May 15, 2018 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Island Ice | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | He’s Cotton | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Down With the King | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Texas Two Step | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Birdie Barrage | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Annie’s Big Boy | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Elle Va | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Comfortable Cat | 1.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | I Cried a Tear | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mercy | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Anita Lass | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lion and the Wolf | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | High Math | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | The Italian | 0.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Joe the Boss | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | No Drinking Rules | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | De Punta a Punta | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Candy Cruzin | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Case the Place | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Clemen | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8A | 8 | Ironbound | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Smooth B | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bang the Drum | 1.40 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wonderfully Tuned | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | True to His Word | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kook’s Kat | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Final Ritual | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7A | 7 | Southern Kisses | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Habibi | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Miss Al Dila | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bayberry | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hijinks | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sweet Turn | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grand Blue Harbor | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jerseymooseisloose | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Betty’s Favorite | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thea Afroditi | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hayne’s Fever | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Insider | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thefundsarelow | 1.40 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Extrasexymazzerati | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Take the Stromboli | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jeddo | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shur Fox | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | West Shore Drive | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7A | 7 | To the Victor | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5A | 5 | Clowney | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I Love You Honey | 1.40 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Master Yank | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bowman’s Beast | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Monkey’s Medal | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | County Corrections | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Winter Ride | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6A | 6 | Ruby Bleu | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Degrom | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5A | 5 | Thomas Knight | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Street Heat | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | My Cousin Lou | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flemish Cap | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Inclusion | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tighten Up | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Philly Completely | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Fifty Eight O G | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spring Emperor | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Champions Maternal | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pax in Terra | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Reddington | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Salutation | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Speightman | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Charles | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.