May 13, 2018 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Witchy’s Laststand |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
6 |
Off Road |
2.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Moonspell |
2.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
T Sizzle |
3.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
5 |
4 |
Dionysus |
3.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Valid Redeemer |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
6 |
5 |
R Lucifer |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Hymn’s Sylvia |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
What the Chub |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Poised for Action |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Daniel Le Deux |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Silent Tale |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Hickory Hill |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Jose Sea View |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Team Tim |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Roman Officer |
1.60 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
4 |
Flight Crew |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
3 |
Phil’s Cocktail |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
10 |
5 |
Mr. Stream |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
4 |
2 |
Make My Saturday |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
12 |
6 |
Hirschbein |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Papacho |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Raven Rush |
4.00 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Punch Nephew |
1.60 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Fifties Music |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bungalow |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Brancato |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Carysfort Reef |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
We Hap Now |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Lill Mave |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Daniella |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Fabulista |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
9A |
9 |
Animalistic |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Unlucky Hillary |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
5 |
4 |
Hey Mabel |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
8 |
5 |
Towson |
12.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
4 |
3 |
Miss Impazible |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
12A |
7 |
Bodella |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
11 |
6 |
Winning Thread |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
A Princess She Is |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Photogenic |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
4 |
Tequila Hero |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
8 |
7 |
Grit |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ring Necked |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
3 |
Mid Ocean |
4.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Rumblin Kyle |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
2 |
Alarming |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
6 |
5 |
Beauziggity |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Political Farce |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Small Giant |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Came Back |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Supersecret |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Real Creel |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Flyingtobechilders |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Tam Tam Attack |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
7 |
Wild Dreams |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Where’s Dominic |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Gaelic Man |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Daystrike |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Jifquick |
30.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
10 |
8 |
Hunger |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
11 |
9 |
Arizona Baby |
8.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Happy Indeed |
10.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
It’s a Plane |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
I Wanda Win |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
2 |
Pomeroy’s Package |
5.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
6 |
Silver Cowboy |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
1 |
Pistol Posse |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
Tens Wild |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
9 |
8 |
Drive At Nite |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
5 |
4 |
Good Genes |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
10 |
9 |
The Iron Bank |
10.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
4 |
3 |
Arctic Schiller |
12.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
8 |
7 |
Im Charming |
20.00 |
7.1 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Puturseatbelton |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Got It |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Private Tutor |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Piper Hill |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Bluegrass Ball |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Against the Win |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Racy (GB) |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
2 |
Midnight Punk |
6.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
8 |
3 |
Modern Medicine |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
11 |
5 |
Far From Awesome |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
1 |
Adversary |
12.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
10 |
4 |
Wildcatpleasures |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Cherryandthehawk |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Data Damsel |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
4 |
Mo Smart |
0.40 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lady by Choice |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
3 |
Maya Malibu |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Emma’sdiamonddiva |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Volpinator |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Pendrell Moon |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Trade the Pick |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Ambition Mission |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Optical Illusion |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
The Bobby |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Zap Cat |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
8 |
Stomp Dance |
3.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
11 |
6 |
Zaptuit |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
4 |
Zeke the Streak |
4.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
3 |
Roman Warrior |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
12 |
7 |
Redeemed Gentleman |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
14 |
9 |
I Ain’t Never |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
10 |
5 |
Native Flora |
10.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
5 |
2 |
Robbie |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
4 |
1 |
Irish Colony |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.