Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, May 13, 2018

May 13, 2018 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Lookingforanewhome 4.00 SCRATCH
4 4 El Dulzura 1.80 3 6-1
6 5 Unbridled Gift 5.00 3.1 6-1
8 7 Musical Comedy 6.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 I Miss My Father 3.50 4.2 8-1
2A 2 El Tocayo 15.00 5 9-1
7A 6 Moneyman 15.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Buzz With Alex 12.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Fairybrook 2.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Chessen 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 I Cried a Tear 20.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Schwartzology 6.00 2.6 5-1
5 4 Bree Zee Lee 2.00 2.9 5-1
6 5 Youarestillthewon 8.00 3.6 7-1
7 6 Ballyhoo Moon 12.00 3.8 7-1
2 1 Kaprancy 12.00 4.2 8-1
3 2 Persky’s Spirit 15.00 5.8 11-1
4 3 Danceforthedevil 20.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Expressly 1.80 2.8 5-1
5 5 Egyptian Rose 4.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Cold Hearted Pearl 2.50 3.7 7-1
4 4 Ignite 6.00 4 8-1
6 6 Trulamo 10.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Veblen Good 5.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Cry Uncle 1.20 2.6 5-1
5 5 Special Included 1.80 2.9 5-1
7 7 She’sgotthebeat 4.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Emilyisawesome 12.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Singing Sarah 10.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Dereya 20.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Lightninginabridle 20.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Nikki’s Bad 1.80 SCRATCH
2 2 Anita Lass 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Pleiades K S A 10.00 SCRATCH
7 4 Little Lu 6.00 2.2 4-1
9 6 Clarista 2.00 2.7 5-1
8 5 Sammy Be Cool 8.00 3 6-1
4 3 Bella El Milagro 15.00 4.4 8-1
3 2 Spicy Dreamer 20.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Jabeezy 20.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Feisty Madam 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Bertranda 8.00 SCRATCH
8 6 Dixie Serenade 1.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Yes I Dance 1.60 3.4 6-1
4 4 Sweet Candy Dance 12.00 3.4 6-1
7 5 Hibernia Diamond 20.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Delightful Lana 30.00 5 9-1
1 1 Perfect Cocktail 15.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2A 2 Even Thunder 1.50 SCRATCH
9B 8 Awesome Speed 2.50 2.9 5-1
7B 6 Name Changer 2.50 3.1 6-1
8 7 Believe in Luck 3.50 3.5 7-1
1A 1 Red Razzo 1.50 4.5 9-1
5 4 Flashy Kyem 6.00 4.6 9-1
6 5 Let Me Go First 8.00 5 9-1
4 3 Glory Stars 15.00 6.6 12-1
3 2 Sheikinator 20.00 6.6 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Pumpkin Star 10.00 SCRATCH
11 10 I Am the Man 3.50 3.4 6-1
6 5 Alan’s Legacy 2.50 3.7 7-1
7 6 Sunshine Sperry 8.00 4.3 8-1
8 7 Controlled Fury 20.00 4.9 9-1
10 9 Southerncommission 20.00 5.6 11-1
3 2 Smarty Mr D 15.00 5.8 11-1
5 4 Guaranteed 5.00 6.1 12-1
4 3 Sallisaw 10.00 6.2 12-1
9 8 His Reins of Fire 20.00 6.4 12-1
2 1 Totaled the Benz 20.00 7.6 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.