May 13, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Data Driven | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Caretaker | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Monteleone | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wrong Ben | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Fixit | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gold Cross | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Barefoot Angel | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Irish Marauder | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Guy American Dream | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Can’tweallgetalong | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Our American Star | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | There Goes Jose | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Casa Rae | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Foolish Ghost | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Gold Fever S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | I’m an Ocala Dude | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Flash Drive | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 1 | Forced | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Engage | 1.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | A Different Style | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Panic Attack | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Santo Antonio | 0.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Carthon | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Local Counsel | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Okeamo | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Holycowits Patrick | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Giant Ending | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | First Tomoe | 1.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sand City | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Desirous | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stars Wilburn | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Madeline’s Hope | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Caoimhe | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flying Pleasantly | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Candygram | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Campaign | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Rugbyman | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Brooklyn Bobby | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dominant Strategy | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | First Commander | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wisely | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Somebody | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nightstrings | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Karen’s Gem | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Bramble Queen | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Best Performance | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Salsa Bella (FR) | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ferdinanda | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Punked (IRE) | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Radiant Beauty | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lalibela | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tocame Linda | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Blue Atlas | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Matty’s Magnum | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Born for a Storm | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Take It to Scale | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Honor Up | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Speke | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blame the Thief | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Danny California | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Danebury | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Set Me Up | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Thicket | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | All Systems Go | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Street Vision | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Tiz He the One | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Killybegs Captain | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Borsa Vento | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Yummy Bear | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Brix | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lunaire | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Crocheron Kid | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Battle in Seattle (FR) | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Strong Side | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Psychic Energy | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Septimius Severus | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Blessed Halo | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rumbles of Thunder | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Battle of Saratoga | 0.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Leading Storm | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Thank You So Much | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Latin Love Bug | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Banker’s Island | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lewyville | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Clonedsimmard | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mr. Skittles | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.