May 12, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Radio Silence | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Avalanche | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fashion Business (GB) | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Temple Keys | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pioneer Lad | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cats Blame | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Malibu Music | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Incredible Luck | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Foxy Fresh | 1.20 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mama’s Secretstorm | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Coronado Cool | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Irish Dame | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tuscany Beauty | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Candy Pink | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Draft Pick | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Victory Element | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blaze of Glory | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Faversham | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Holly Blame | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aurora d’Oro | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Trojan Spirit | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Senator Robert | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lymebyrd | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Six Point Rack | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Calvert Street | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alsatian | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Unusual Meeting | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | California Journey | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shaymin | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Lazaro Barrera S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Calexman | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Kanthaka | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | McKale | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Zulfikhar | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | King Cause | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Beautiful Shot | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bocephus | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Conquest Typhoon | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Bryan | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ya Gotta Wanna | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Deal With It Dude | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ronald R (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hawks Peak | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bold Papa | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Conscripted | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Downside Up | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Awesome E K | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lion Command | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Trojan Time | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sierra Echo | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Escudo Nacional (ARG) | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Contento | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bohan | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tandy Ride | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Angels Flight S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Thirteen Squared | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moonshine Memories | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Show It N Moe It | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Uppercut | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | True Royalty | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Emboldened | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Highland Lass | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Surrender Now | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | First Dudette | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Film Actress | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Baladera | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Outcome | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | What’s Bruin | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Unchaining Melody (GB) | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Token Vow | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Love of Art (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Katherine | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Camino Song (IRE) | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Don’t Blame Judy | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Journal Entry | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Star Kissed | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Thalia | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.