May 12, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | A True Giant | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Proletariat | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | H Man | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Prophet’s Cat | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Get Game | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Arthur’s Hope | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14A | 14 | Potomac | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3A | 3 | Cumulative | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Big Agenda | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Untraceable | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Unforeseeable | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Salsa Jack | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shiloh Lane | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Causeur | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Arch Contender | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Diplomatic Shaft | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Masquerader | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Carrick | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Huracan | 50.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Buster Brown Boy | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Vagrancy H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sounds Delicious | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Holiday Disguise | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chalon | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ascertain | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kirby’s Penny | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Swing and Sway | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Everyonelovesjames | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Sparky | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Lem Me Tel Ya | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Throw the Deuce | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Scatsuku | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ferrad’s Party | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Singapore Trader | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Mr. Wonderful | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Giant Boo Boo | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Whiskey Run | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Con Em | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lance’s Empire | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Blackout (FR) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Winning Road | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Forge | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Macagone | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Tombelaine | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | American Guru | 1.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Voodoo Song | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | English Minister | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | War Stroll | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Toughest ‘Ombre | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Buff | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Patch | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Exulting | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Souper Catch | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chris and Dave | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Halloween Horror | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Myakka River | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wine Not | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vincento | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Becker’s Galaxy | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Dream Doctor | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Holy Week | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Gucci Factor | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Cloontia | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Royal Blessing | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mascarello | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Changewilldoyagood | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Forever in Love | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Inheritthewind | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The J Y | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Samadi Sky | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Tiz a Chance | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Leaveematthegate | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Runhappy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Green Gratto | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Skyler’s Scramjet | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Westwood | 2.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Great Stuff | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Always Sunshine | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | King Kranz | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Beaugay S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Inflexibility | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Impression | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Team of Teams | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tricky Escape | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | A Raving Beauty (GER) | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lido | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Broken Bridle | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Peter Pan S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Diamond King | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Transistor | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Core Beliefs | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | High North | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blended Citizen | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Just Whistle | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Gotta Go | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zing Zang | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Man O’ War S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Money Multiplier | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Scholar Athlete | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sadler’s Joy | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | One Go All Go | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hi Happy (ARG) | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Call Provision | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bigger Picture | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Wake Forest (GER) | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Postulation | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Catcho En Die (ARG) | 50.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.