May 11, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Frankincense | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Cajun Treasure | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Soltero | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Desert Stone (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pointed | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Invasion Looming | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Courtship | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Over Emphasize | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Toothless Wonder | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sparky Ville | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tijori | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Honcho | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zip’s Secret | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Factor of Two | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Watch Me Burn | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Kona Coast | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Momma’s Baby Boy | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Earnednevergiven | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flynn | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Street to Indy | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nate’s Attack | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Latitude | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rossman | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Canadian Game | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sellwood | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Scat Big Dad | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Noivo (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Eagle | 1.80 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Holy Ghost | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Acclimate | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mesa Sky | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Private Prospect | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | I’ll Wrap It Up | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Atomic Action | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Classico | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Go Ghetto | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Louden’s Gray | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Here and There | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Four Gaels | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Candy Crew | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Joejoe’s Kingdom | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Studly Perfection | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tidal Effect | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Goodwillambassador | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | American All Star | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lolly Express | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Southern Warlord | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Oh Man | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Peace | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Longden (GB) | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shivermetimbers | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Take the One O One | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dark Vader | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ayacara (GB) | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pepe Tono | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Spend It | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Perfect Tale | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Zoomin In | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ashley’s Big Guy | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Loco Mango | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Call Ended | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | War in the West | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Buddy Bear | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | When Jesus Walked | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Great Commission | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.