May 11, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Surface Strike | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Blurred Line | 1.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ten Eyck | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Zechariah | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Stag of Sylvia | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pirelli Tower | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ridolfo | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Spa Jazz | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Reyana Reya Delite | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Princess Maeve | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pumpernickel Basil | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Classy Cara | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Megalopsychia | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lia Shivani | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | You Promise | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Candy Road | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Patriotic Endeavor | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Believe Indeed | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Miss Aja Brown | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | She’s So Fine | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bonita Springs | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Free N Clear | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Arewehavingfunyet | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zeven | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Halloween Horror | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Devamani (FR) | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Business Expense | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Gauguin (GER) | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | County Court | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Nakamura | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shahroze (IRE) | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hills Pond | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | La Key | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | No Need to Appeal | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cozzy Spring | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Short Kakes | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Luz Mimi | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Picture Day | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Special Trip | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Complicit | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Her Latest Film | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fashion Week | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tapin Through Life | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Susan B Anthony (IRE) | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Soar From Shadows | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | In a Snit | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Mission | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Have Another | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | More Front | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Javelin | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Town | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Light the Vow | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Special Story | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | E J’s Legacy | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hoffenheim | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | John Jones | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Saratoga Jack | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Inspector Lynley | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Aquaphobia | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Giant Run | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Made You Look | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Black Tide | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dowse’s Beach | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Ribbonite | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Glossy | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kitten’s Covergirl | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tres Charmant | 2.50 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Animauxselle | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Factoring | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Two Nancy’s | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Lightnin Strike | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Velvet Trinni | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Passing Moments | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bayshore Beauty | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.