May 10, 2018 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Gordo | 1.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Secret Trip | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Aced My Finals | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Megavolt | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mountain On Fire | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cowboys Ransome | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kiss Him Goodbye | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Immortalize | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jersey Bob | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stef’s Guy | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Broken Smiles | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thisboy’sacowboy | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sturgeon | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Train Walk | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rickshaw Express | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Credit Report | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Unyielding Storm | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bear’s the Name | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Out of Mischief | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Back the Blue | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Max | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lovethatcause | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Ike | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Right Hook | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wild Card Playoff | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sho Poke | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | All About Ashley | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | No Distortion | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Travel West | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Holiday Man | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Candy My Boy | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Iowa Native | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bustamove | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Striking Ekati | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Magic Miracle | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Conquest Assassin | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | General Sherman | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Arkyarch | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Haus | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Star of Iowa | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Zombie | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Rockin Rudy | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Holt County | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Take Me Up Brady | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sure Fire Friend | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Perfection | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rushin Tothe Front | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Paganol | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shaboxxo | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Whiskey Tree | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Repent With Me | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Real Heat | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Get That Box | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Primarily Gold | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Boxer Boy | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Shakemygrass | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Just Fred | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Royal Lion | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Leech | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Xavier Davey | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sarah’s Swingtown | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | King George | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lenapah | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.