May 10, 2018 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Brooklyn Speights | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stephen’s Answer | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gin Fuzz | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smart Question | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | High Society | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silver Romeo | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chilly Magician | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Malibu Sunset | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Gold Man | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Spirit Grabber | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tipsy Moose | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bessie’s Boy | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hennessy Fire | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Springtime Wind | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Shecor | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Shifra Magician | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | On the Hop | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Kabuki | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 11 | Meddybemps | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Borino | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 7 | Kitty’s Right | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Clare’s Dowery | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Include a Check | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Spicy Girl Red | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Likeagirl | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | La La Bamba | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Nancy R | 0.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Somethingwithlilly | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Iam a Dancer | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Estrella Grande | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pauline’s Raven | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Donna’s Delight | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Alydarius | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Warrioroftheroses | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Kabang | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Southside Warrior | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dattt Melody | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Barney Rebel (IRE) | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grandiflora | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | O Dionysus | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dove Dynasty | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Lunar Boogie | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Flankenstein | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Colonel Argo | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Catapult Jack | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Valadier | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | In Your Pocket | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | Royal Katy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Mirth | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Snow Queen | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Proudly | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 13 | View the Star | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 8 | Liberale (FR) | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Karma | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Enthusiastic Gal | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Kazzie Cottonwood | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Love in Excess | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Capucine | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Bay of Sighs | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Dear Charlotte | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cape Cod Tide | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Emoticon | 1.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Hatteras Bound | 1.20 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Gaetano | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Afleet Domination | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bob’s My Uncle | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Kingston Pike | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 14 | Shanghai Storm | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | We Made It | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Paid Holiday | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Whenthedovescry | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Jammer | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | I’ve Gotta Plan | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Benevolent Prince | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cool Cash | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Secret Cape | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jackgreerstubhutch | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Day of Reckoning | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Brilliant Brave | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unclenedwhodrank | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.