May 5, 2018 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | My Rosebud | 0.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Patmos | 0.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Icrywheni’mdrunk | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Conquer the Course | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spunsational | 0.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Boldnpossible | 0.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Sails | 0.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pandora’s Jul | 0.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Silent Consort | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Typically | 0.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Swagitude | 0.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dolly Dagger | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Excommunicate | 0.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | H. M. S. Pinafore | 0.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wild Lute | 0.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Glamour Lady | 0.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | King and His Court | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Are You Kidding Me | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Melmich | 0.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kingsport | 0.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Black Sea (FR) | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dragon Bay | 0.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | She’s Got Fire | 0.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Celtic Singer | 0.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stormy Summer | 0.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | It’snicetobenice | 0.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Show Me the Prize | 0.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zestina | 0.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Petite Amie | 0.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Blu Collar Romance | 0.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Happycrest | 0.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bear Paw | 0.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hope N Glory | 0.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Hessenfield | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Detroit Steel (IRE) | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Simply Silent | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Letthebighossroll | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Is Bourbon | 0.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Zephan | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Monastrell | 0.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Water Polo | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Joey | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Kentucky Charm | 0.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Yallhaveaniceday | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Diamonds and Roses | 0.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lillz Not Crying | 0.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Conquest Too Smart | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Milwaukee Flash | 0.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Canada Wise Don | 0.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Titanico | 0.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Gibbons Gambler | 0.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Butilovesyababe | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vilma | 0.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Bit’s Lover Boy | 0.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Acting the Part | 0.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blutarsky | 0.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gluten Free | 0.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Forest Brother | 0.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Narrow Escape | 0.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Follow My Lead | 0.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Malibu Secret | 0.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Favorite Heir | 0.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Olivia’s Uncle | 0.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fire for Effect | 0.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Woodstock S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Supreme Aura | 0.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Be Vewy Vewy Quiet | 0.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Verboten | 0.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Curlin’s Honor | 0.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Marcus | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tethra’s Magic | 0.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Trini Brewnette | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Greek Justice | 0.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bella Figura | 0.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crumlin Queen | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ready’s Princess | 0.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Niigon’s Legacy | 0.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sam’s Cross | 0.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Deesse Nike | 0.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | One Pound Sterling | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Silent Dance | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Forester’s Forum | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bob W. | 0.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Signature Twirl | 0.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Kyslios’s Justice | 0.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Black Storm | 0.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gasparilla Trove | 0.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Grand Poobah | 0.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Teiaiagon | 0.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Fine Grind | 0.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Workingonmyspanish | 0.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Major Gordon | 0.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Alessio | 0.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.