May 5, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lynne’s Legacy | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Proud ‘n’ Ready | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tammy’s Window | 2.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Subic Bay | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zuzanna | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kitty Boo (GB) | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Winner’s Dream | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Nice Haircut | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Luck’s Royal Flush | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Settle It | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Stormy Valentino | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tap the Wire | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Movedbydino | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr Bingley | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Calder Vale | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Amada Rafaela | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Toffee | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Patricia’s Ring | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fantastic Girl | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hot Autumn | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Storming Lady | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Untouched Elegance | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Singletary S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Choo Choo | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Restrainedvengence | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | La La Land (IRE) | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Move Over (GB) | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | More Honor | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | East Rand | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Afleet Ascent | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blame the Rider | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Batiquitos | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Red Stich | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Scathing | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Love a Honeybadger | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Twisted Rosie | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mixed Emotions | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Li’l Grazen | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Paschalitsa | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bernina Star | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | The Tulip (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fahan Mura | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fizzy Friday (GB) | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spin Me a Kiss | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hachi (CHI) | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fuerza | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Domestic Vintage | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Senorita S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Treasuring (GB) | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | West Palm Beach (IRE) | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pursuing The Dream (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Exuberance | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Movie Moment | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Consolida (GB) | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | May Girl (GB) | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Quad | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | North County Guy | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moon Juice | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mach Speed | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Seattle Encounter | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Unusual Champ | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Angry Bobby | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Calimonco Flyer | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Tattoo Kid | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Taste’s Legend | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Oiseau de Guerre | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Make It a Triple | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Incensed | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fortune of War (GB) | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vending Machine | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Conquest Superstar | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sigur Ros | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Buckys Pick | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | So Conflated | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Dad’s a Gambler | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Shackalov | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Wheresthemoneyjack | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Bad Boy Leroy | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 7 | Zap Again | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Glorious Crown | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Gator Don’t Play | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Upperclassman | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Dominant Don | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Isee It in Hiseyes | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mac McLovin | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Kaleidoscope Kid | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Frankie Machine | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Rustic Canyon | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Conquest Smartee | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Camps Bay | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Kinematico | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bob’s Bad Boy | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Harliss | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Brag Dude | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | War Link | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | When Jesus Walked | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | St. Simeon | 50.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.