May 5, 2018 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
K Street |
1.60 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Luther D |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cat Got Even |
4.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
True Power |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Positive Ways |
5.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Code of Justice |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Katistrophictoyou |
1.60 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dreamin My Dream |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Royally Handsome |
4.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Blueskeeper |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Little Marco |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Just Parkes |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Charlie’s Chrome |
10.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Daring Ego |
2.50 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Doc Holiday Rules |
3.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Shanks |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Rickey Lee |
4.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Including All |
3.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Instant Beauty |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Velocidade |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Seismic Force |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Jonny’s Choice |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
One King’s Man |
4.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fiftyshadesofbay |
1.80 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mizz Wizz |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Future Express |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
So Sorry Ruston |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Handful of Stripes |
2.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
King of Anything |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
6 |
Rock City Roadhog |
5.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
3 |
Internet Success |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
5 |
Runarounddancing |
4.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
2 |
Wildcat Shoals |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Intimidating |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Paramont |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Baysider |
5.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Battle Zone |
4.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Newport Beach |
4.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Take Charge Now |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Jean’s Beauty |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Vocalist |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Sandraux |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
4 |
Devine Teaching |
3.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
3 |
Shut the Gate |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
9 |
6 |
Smarty Party |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
10 |
7 |
Smoke Out |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
City Romance |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Queen of Wildwood |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
8 |
5 |
Valid Cause |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Unprovoked |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Archie’s Girl |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Fast Machine |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
My Sister Madi |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cape Trios |
4.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Run Some Koppy’s |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Appeal to the Beat |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Omega |
1.60 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
6 |
Stand Alone Dennis |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cowboy Cactus Jack |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Royal Vineyard |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sid’s First Word |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
5 |
Laid Back John |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.