May 4, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Smokin Hot Factor | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kukulkan | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Me Darlin Kara | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Paid Holiday | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Pickles N Lime | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | El Daniel T | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eagle Caviar | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Monumental Vending | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seattle Ric | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ami’s Artie | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Raphael’s Promise | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Brahms Romp | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Here’s Paco | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Zesty Zar | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Kick | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gorsuch | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Patriotic Quest | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Chasintheblues | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | One Proud Wildcat | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Ready Aim | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Mr. Magician | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Top Hat City | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Smart Royal T | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Far From Awesome | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Pure Spring | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Albertos Al Quinto | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Papal Law | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scrapple | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Top Me Off | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Star That Shines | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Ballard High | 1.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Major Attitude | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Two Swords | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Calvi | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Maru’s Raven | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Real Factor | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Goodnight Moon | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Full Faith | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Role Model | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15A | 15 | Playa Chica | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Goldmakesmesmile | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Sunrisebernsteini | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Feelin Foxie | 1.40 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Our Juliet | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bash | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz a Ghostzapper | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Carved | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Great Madrina | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | Lilibet | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Country Linedancer | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Graceful Request | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6A | 6 | Local Thriller | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8A | 8 | Janes Brew | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Dance Or Stroll | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Rock On Sandy | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Majorie Mugs | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Temple Sky | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cyndara | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Important | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Prettyasnewmoney | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grand Lassie | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | She Be Sassy | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | A Great Time | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Jarvis Steel | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Visual Effect | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Photogenic | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Align the Numbers | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 5 | Shoe Loves Shoe | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Chinquapin | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Joseph | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Love You Much | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Midnight Cry | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Verse | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rare Notion | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Top Czar | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Determined Vision | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cerulean Springs | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sandy Lane | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Poplar Avenue | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jack of Spades | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Won the Case | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Good Roll | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Keep Your Distance | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Special Event | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chubby Star | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Advert | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Folk Magic | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quick Witted | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Prevailing Party | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vente to Go | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Secret Or Not | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ten Dollar Hammer | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Slim | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Love N Kimestry | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Conquistodor Fuego | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tymochtee Creek | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | L’Overture | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Creepy the Crab | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Captain Trips | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Da Vinci’s Vision | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.