April 30, 2018 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | He’s Cotton | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wizard of Odds | 1.40 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Texas Two Step | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Aimed | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Bourbon | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | M J’s Knight | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | True to His Word | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rocky the Kid | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Surfing U S A | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Golden Rivet | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Sidney | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Puppy Manners | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | J R Jellybean | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | High Dollar Kitten | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dimension | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Urban Burn | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Alturist | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cousin Stephen | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Frogman Mel | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Act of Madness | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Papa Jones | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Match Up | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Belly Dancer | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | County Corrections | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lunar Rover | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Veblen Good | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Revolving Storm | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Doctorsofmischief | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Enterprise Value | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mettemarlamelva | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Natural Warrior | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blaze Star | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Love On Fire | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jersey’s Kittens | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Pirellone | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Artistic Drifter | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Vegas Strip | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Clowney | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Philly Completely | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Unbridled Rocket | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Machu Picchu Sky | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kingslayer | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Kook’s Kat | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Cinderela El Crome | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | South Sea | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Forman the Foreman | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Games | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rossie Val | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nile Gold | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Drosselmagic | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Inky Dinky Do | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Swell | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 9 | Hurricane Bear | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 2 | Moneyman | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Retrograde | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Klaatu | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Get the W | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gaetano | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bubba’s Will | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Burntwood | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2X | 6 | Speaker John | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | El Tocayo | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Stoneville | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Pinatubo | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Honor and Courage | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Colonel Juan | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Devine Dental | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wonderfully Tuned | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jw’strickymischief | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ferdinandthemouse | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Barcode | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Kowboy King | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Let’s Be Frank | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Baby Cat | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sunny Puzzle | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Demon Buster | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Avalanche Rock | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seve | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | It Behooves Me | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | R Power Grid | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gasupthejet | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Siena Indian | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.