April 29, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Classy Tune | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Causeway Carolyn | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | War Heroine | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tooreen Dancer (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Quebec | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ms Wakaya | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | India Mantuana | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Baby Gronk | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wild Lando | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Soul Owner | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Older Brother | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Old Indian Trick | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Going Away Party | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Son of Smalls | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | International Diva (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sunday Prophet | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Foxtail | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Doubelievenmagic | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Congrats | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | It’s Alexus | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tanda’s Joy | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cee Sam’s Girl | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Conquest Flatterme | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Sturdy One | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dis Smart Cat | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Be a Lady | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Utana | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cioppino Pasadino | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Autumn Twilight | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Calie View | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Flynn | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Righteous Wave | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smiling Angelo | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cayate | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jonas | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | For the Hustle | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tell Me More | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Arrowsphere | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Temple Princess | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Design | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | See the World | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Izzys Express | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eurasia | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Feeling the Heat | 50.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Geocas Dream | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Bobby Axelrod | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lontani | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aurora d’Oro | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Bocephus | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Upo | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eviscerator | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Victory Element | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | King Cause | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Causeididitmyway | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Wicken Fen | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pioneerofthestorm | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Seventh Wave | 20.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – San Simeon S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Conquest Tsunami | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Double Touch (GB) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Coniah | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Belvoir Bay (GB) | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Mongolian Saturday | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Isotherm | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Anatolian Heat | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Miss Julia Star (FR) | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Most Determined | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Eagle Screams | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Roaring Rule | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gentrified | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shackleford Banks | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Muchos Besos | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ground Rules | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Saint Dermot | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Howdy | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | True Valor | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sanavi | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.