April 29, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Shiraz | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mar Vista Miguel | 1.20 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | River Knight | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ethan Hunt | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Outrageous Bet | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Louisiana Lady | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8A | 8 | Maimo | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6A | 6 | Operator | 1.20 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Champagne Papi | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Latin Love Bug | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Contingent Payment | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | True Blue | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Giant Rubies | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Reyana Reya Dreams | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Caledonia Road | 0.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crimson Frost | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Total Control | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Special Risk | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stay Fond | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Catch a Cab | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lemon Blitz | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Datum | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | This Cat Can Fly | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nolineonthehorizon | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | English Channical | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Last Chant | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Knockin Em Back | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Time Expired | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ajnadeen | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | High Promise | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Consensus Thinking | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Monkeyseemonkeydo | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Orbed | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Another | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | First Appeal | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eloweasel | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Same Kinda Crazy | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alabama Bound | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silly Sister | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bertranda | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Purrageous Dyna | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | I Want Mo | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Straightaway May | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bartleby | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Luzinski | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hamptons Holiday | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whyamisolucky | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quai Voltaire | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flatexcel | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ten Twenty Nine | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – License Fee S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Pretty Perfection | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Stormy Victoria (FR) | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jennifer Lynnette | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Always Thinking | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Touch of Bling | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jc’s Shooting Star | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lady Alexandra | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Nisha | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | La Manche | 1.60 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Run for Boston | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fleet Admiral | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stag of Sylvia | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Platinum Nugget | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Theresa’s Boy | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Flat Bill | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Forest Ladd | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Njord | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.