April 28, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | He’s a Leader | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Calypso Deep | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Resistance Jak | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Going to the Beach | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Golden Away | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mac Creiche | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Royal Flyer | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Chief White Sox | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Judge Hudson | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Run for the Cup | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lovingrdsimmar | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Enduring Arch | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | As It Happens | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mr. Bell | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | R Baby Driver | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | City Edition | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Pekin | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cape Marco Drive | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | A B G Guerrero | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Solve | 0.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moonlight Bandit | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Starship Rocky | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dizzy Gillespie | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Royal Mile | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wild Mongolia | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gadsby Tavern | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Don’t Beleve Watch | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Adosinda | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mariealena | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Simuladora | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Adios Chic | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Perfect Fox | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mucho Media | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Peacfulwarriorgirl | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Zitman | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Royalston | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dependable Phil | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sanad | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Leroi’s Gem | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Freudian Fall | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stay in Cruise | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Little Cristian | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Roble Cayeyano | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Chief Exchanger | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Montclair (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Global Entry | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | One of a Kind | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Reflected Star | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Second Street | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Megeve | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whiskey Train | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Remington Rose | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Rethinkme | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Flying Emerald | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tapete Claire | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aunt Betty | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sunny My Way | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Weallhavechanged | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Two Diamonds | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Awesome Always | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | The Great Kath | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dutches of Sparkle | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tiebaj | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Candy Asset | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Appa | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silver Defense | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Little No Way | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Biloxi Bay | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Give to U. K. Cats | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bon Raison | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hideaway Hero | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Just the Facts | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cometin | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wildcat’s Legacy | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Miesque’s Approval S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Hieroglyphics | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Go Around | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Durocher | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Meister | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Conquest Sandman | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fast and Accurate | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Uncle B | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Millionaire Runner | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tea and Cricket | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Yes Darlin | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Woodburn | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kokomo Wildcat | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big City Heart | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lunch Break | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sailer’s Companion | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mass Approval | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Starship Danny | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Powder Break S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Island Reward | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Inside Out | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | King’s Ghost | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Glory to Kitten | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Susie Bee | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Conquest Hardcandy | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Silver Step (FR) | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Madame Uno | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Josdesanimaux | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sylphide | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lipstick City | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Montauk Miss | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Surely Temple | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Mo’s Ginny | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Little Miss May | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Sierra Love | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Ash Flower | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Momma Tries | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | My Sweet Lorraine | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | She’s No Joke | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Normal Sinus | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Monja | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Successful Quest | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.