April 28, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Picture Day | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Total Control | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Cozzy Spring | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 4 | Abbreviate | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | I’m Betty G | 1.20 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Truth in the Lies | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Lady Joan | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Annie Rocks | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Latin Love Bug | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Sharp Bid | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Three Goals | 1.20 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Wushu Warrior | 2.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Guy American Dream | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Freudian Analyst | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Barefoot Angel | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Well in Tune | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Huntsman | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lake Party | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Congruity | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ride to the Sunset | 2.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Espresso Caliente | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Vicar’s Legend | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Michael Wonderful | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | My Pirate | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Realm | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Take Your Guns | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Doyouknowsomething | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tusk | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Uncle Sigh | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Adulator | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Wisely | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Orbed | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Frontier Market | 1.20 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Labeq | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4A | 3 | Commandeering | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Spectacular Jack | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Domain | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3A | 2 | Indurate | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Never Nevermore | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tapit High | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Union Ranks | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Pawn It Back | 50.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Danebury | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Mr. Brix | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Shadow Rider | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Get Game | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Uncle Gio | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Not in Charge | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Harlan’s Hunch | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Nutzforboltz | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | King of Spades | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Buddy’s Tiz | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Herecomesyourman | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9A | 9 | Satisfy | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | March Two Madness | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sister Patricia | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Kreah’s Ribbon | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Silencia | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2A | 2 | Ma Mo | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pas de Deuce | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Trinni Ninja | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Downtown At Noon | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Finlee | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ultimateenticement | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Cerretalto | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Salute With Honor | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Polar Jet | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Emancipation | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jewel Can Disco | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Professor Snape | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Killybegs Captain | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Elusive Quality S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Conquest Panthera | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Commute | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Kharafa | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Commend | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Undrafted | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Field of Courage | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Great Wide Open (IRE) | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ready for Rye | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blind Ambition | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Great Stuff | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Big Guy Ian | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Will Did It | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10A | 10 | Data Driven | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Saratoga Heater | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 12A | 9 | Dancetrack | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Final Chapter | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Marriage Fever | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Breeze Burner | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lex Vegas | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | No Hiding Place | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Excluded | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | St. Patrick Frost | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.