April 27, 2018 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sohni | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kenosha Comet | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Foreverinyourfavor | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Georgy Girl | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pennyann’s Inn | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spring Break Girls | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Joy of Treasure | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Mighty Scarlett | 1.40 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Brie’s Lucky Charm | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dayfa | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Twiga | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smart Shot | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Final Reward | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Flawsome | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Summer Fling | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mushaboom | 50.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lilbitofjam | 1.20 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Racey Reecey | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Love the Power (FR) | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wilhelmina | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ivy’s College Fund | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crack Your Whip | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Love That Lute | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Beltway | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kahramani | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fifth Thief | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Burnt Bluff | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | King Ofthe Channel | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tizaprincessa | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Nevisian Sunset | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sweet Oats | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Style Icon | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mizzen Colony | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sippin Kitten | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Renewable | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | More Fun Again | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Osheen | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Salty Scatt | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Marriage Counselor | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sacred Walk | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Let Me Loose | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fullback Foye | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Pulledafastone | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | B First | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zarski | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Treadwell | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brouillard | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Spats | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sniper Kitten | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Soul Beam | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Morning Stride | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Violent Storm | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sky Promise | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Take That for Data | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fig Jelly | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ceduna | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Limit Your Losses | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | King of Candy | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mistressofthenight | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Champagne Problems | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dorodansa | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mannerly | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blue Collar | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Legacy | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Impasse | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vagabond Princess | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Bewitch S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Daddys Lil Darling | 0.60 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Daring Duchess | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sully’s Dream | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ickymasho (GB) | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mom’s On Strike | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coco Channel | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shezaprado | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Stack Em High | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Triple Dog Dare | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Say the Word | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | C C Rider | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nantucket (JPN) | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jailhouse Kitten | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Royal Edition | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kilronan | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Broth | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | El Capa Rojo | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sgt Jack T Moffitt | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.