April 26, 2018 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 3 | Ride On Faith | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Pain in the Arch | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1A | 2 | Spanned | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Boyhood Dream | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Syrup | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 4 | Time for War | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Here’s Carlos | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Spellker | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Girls Know Best | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ours to Run | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Natural Wonder | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Marquee Miss | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kyllachy Queen (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Gossip (IRE) | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | El Bonito | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Abraham | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Liberty Lane | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Salsa’s Return | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | El Charro | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tonedaddy | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | A We Bit Flirty | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Etruscan | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Constancia | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Egoli | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Boom Boom Gone | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Flume | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Miss Harry | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Mucho Amor | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | City Diva | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | War Ballad | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Blame the Frog | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Mari Chuy | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | My Wynter Rose | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | La Coyota | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Carry the One | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Boucan | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mooose | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Chief Hosa | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Get a Valentine | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Critical Way | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lawton | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Whiskey Bravo | 4.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Noshackleshere | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mount Calvary | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rapa Iti | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Payntermaniac | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Capeline | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Devious Charm | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Giro Kate | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Shang Shang Shang | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Beach Getaway | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moonlight Romance | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Seranitsa | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Stellar Stiletto | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Miami Azul | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Kukoo Kunuku | 50.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Laser Lynn | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Love Off | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Momma’s Angel | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cash Out | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Romantic Moment | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Starving Artist | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Drinks On Me | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Get Explicit | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Prairie Citizen | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Classy Music | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hayworth | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | April Fifteenth | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A Girl Has No Name | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Sparticle | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Whatelse Igot Todo | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Teletap | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | First Recruit | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Blitsig | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tale of Fame | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Escalera | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Top Me Off | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Whisper Barrow | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thegistofit | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fireball Jon | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Kilronan | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | El Capa Rojo | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Say the Word | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | C C Rider | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Love Nest | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lascaux | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Countryside Drive | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Old Guard | 5.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eclipsed Moon | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pointman | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kitten Street | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wicked Trick | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sportswear (GB) | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vincent Van Gogo | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.