April 25, 2018 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Stylitude | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Resonate | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fashion Envy | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Valiant Reason | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Crowned Princess | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Marnie Star | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Abstain | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Super’s X E | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’sgotthebeat | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Kitty Express | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | She’s Got Pride | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Lucky Move | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Jemrose | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | My Kinda Devil | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mrs Rocco | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Maria Rose | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Flashy Trick | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 16 | Big Max | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Abyssinian | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Chattel | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Maya Solomea | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Baytown Glory | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Two Bit Kid | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Stage Left | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | U. S. Warrior | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Inda Zone | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Infantry | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Land Broker | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Big Bruiser | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz Nijinsky | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Kool Patriot | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Del La Hoya | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dalliance | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Shezaprado | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Lovin Empire (JPN) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Bengala (FR) | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Secede | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Creative Thinking | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Sweet Ella | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Front Row Debbie | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Full of Joy | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Araminta | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Vacanzie Inn | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | What What What | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Gingermore | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Radiantrithym | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prom Theme | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Music | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tappin the Magic | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | See the Bird | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Budget Cut | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Zulu Alpha | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Profiteer | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Space Mountain | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dot Matrix | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bondurant | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Floroplus | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tweet Kitten | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nileator | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 4 | Paddock Crasher | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Campioni | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Something Bird | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Aviator Parks | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ragtime Rebel | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | One Fine Ride | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mucho Mas Grande | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | All Up in Lights | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Silver Giant | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Street Limit | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Golden Amber | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brielle’s Appeal | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pastime | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bonnie Arch | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | China Grove | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | May Lily | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tu Se Manques | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fly | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Surfina | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.