April 20, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lil Bit Toasted | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Jess Run Corona | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | La Mos Chickie | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jess a Duke Girl | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tellhertorunfaster | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dashin and Struttin | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jess Making It | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blueaway Cartel | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Quick Jewel | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jesslouisinababy | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Run Fire | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Hallowed | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Toast N Good Bye | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sovereign Diamonds | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mrs Pigeon | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Toast to Max | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Igottaadios | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Jess too Be Chief | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Games for Girls | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bourbonstreethotty | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Emnent | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Vella Buena | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jls Tee Cos Jr | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Melting Your Heart | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sixes Flash | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ribbons Prize | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ivorys All In | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | D Black Box | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ja Jess Flyin Free | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sir Edward L Perry | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Jess Adalida | 1.40 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Down N Cruzin | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | A Dirty Temptation | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Blue Queen | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aguila | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | My First Real Cartel | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lilac | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Streakin Past | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bp First Real Man | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Sr Shambles | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Droff | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ebrima | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Alluringeyeopener | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mighty B Grateful | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Apollitical News | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kuhl Cash | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Im One Lucky Man | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Wave by You | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Sunset Run | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Together to the End | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Valiant Strawfly | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Poise N Courage | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | One of These Daze | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Might and Right | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Azooming Fast Man | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Washita Lauren | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Jess Coming in Hot | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | The Carter II | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | The Cartel Warrior | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stone Cold Leader | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mystical Jess | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Rock Solid Babe Aw | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jd Cartel | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Flying Leone | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Shesnotasweetkrash | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tcs Power Stroker | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Shez Dead Serious | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fpj Blazen Fast Ryon | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bureaucracy B | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tk Zoomaway | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Really Fast Dash | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cuervo for Mygirls | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zoomin Bailey Girl | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mycartelsalady | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Iknowwhattodo | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whatiwontdo | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Delta Dash S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Undivided Atemption | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Bjs Magic Wings | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Mps Shake Em N Style | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Scoopies Leaving You | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dash Dont Cheat | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | The Golden Bowl | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dm La Jolla | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sassy Chic 3341 | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Mr Coco Pilota | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heasablackmagic | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lil Biscuit | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Beau Jackson | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mps Triple Tequila | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shez Somekinda Fast | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sta Rich Runaway | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tf Iopening Runaway | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cw Miss Quick Cash | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr Louisiana Chrome | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nota Ordinary Bear | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | One Famous Deoh | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.