April 19, 2018 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Laser Lynn | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Wosie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Armony’s Angel | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Out Till Dawn | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Zodiac Princess | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 6 | Seeking a Star | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chelsea Cloisters | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | Temple City Charm | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Montana Sunset | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Elle Factor | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 8 | Run Chuy Run | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Elfy | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Lady Is Enough | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | United Patriot | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beautiful Game | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kate’s Golden Dude | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dreamzapper | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hubbadahubbadaboom | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Boxing Glove | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Portfolio Manager | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Next Speaker | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maniacal | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Valyrian | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fuhrious Warrior | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dos Cuernos | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Diamondmaze | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | My Wynter Rose | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Crossing Alaska | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Abyssinian | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Boom Boom Gone | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Sexyama | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Power Gal (JPN) | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Northern Beauty | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Athens Queen | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Analyze This Cat | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Lightscameraaction | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Baytown Lindy | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tapiz Dream | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Holiday Bid | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ventry Bay | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hollow Point | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | What’sontheagenda | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Turbo S | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Romeo O Romeo | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Westwood’s Wizard | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mutation | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Clay Magic | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Stairwell | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | More Moola | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Sun Dress | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | She Might Tell | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | She’s Da Nuts | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | My Rose of Savanna | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Go Stellaire | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Animalistic | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Security | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pure Sugar | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gemoiselle | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Devine | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Lacasine Special | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Queen Jeanne | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sassy Zeeman | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Keeper Ridge | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Say the Word | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Katie’s Cowboy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Countryside Drive | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Heza Kitten | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | First Spring | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Divide | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Raging Bull (FR) | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bail Out | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shackled | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Irish Territory (IRE) | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Get Western | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Non Regrette | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Skycraft | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hurry Back | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Somebody’s Beau | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cape Crush | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Silver Dust | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Dollar Bill | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hint of Roses | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Mojo | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Magical Mystery | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big E | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Combustible | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | Applewood | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Teryn It Up | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Burnin Daylight | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Papa Rizzo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Special Forces | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Midnight Tea Time | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Redoute’s Light | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Blacksburg | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Witch Doctor | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pali High | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Welles Crowther | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Malibu Uproar | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Water Moccasin | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Themanbehindtheman | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Proquestor | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gem Alta | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.