April 18, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8B | 8 | Classy to D’ Bone | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Brittas Bay | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Sway | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Disclude | 1.40 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Ma Meatloaf | 1.40 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Emmy Knows | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mertz | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Three Birds | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4B | 4 | I Am Sam Samurai | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Crypto’s Pick | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Contingent Payment | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Big Auk | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Blatant | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Great Going | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Seediskid | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Brilliant Scheme | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | True Blue | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Miss Mi Mi | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Mo Smart | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8A | 8 | Dictate Cool | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Bramble Queen | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 5 | Data Dependent | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Radiant Beauty | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3A | 2 | So Hi Society (IRE) | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Matty’s Magnum | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fairy Link | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Giant Boo Boo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13A | 13 | Fast Getaway | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Just Bustin | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7A | 7 | Forward Motion | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lem Me Tel Ya | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | English Channical | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Scatsuku | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Frost Z | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rough Justice | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pequeno Grande | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Won’t Be Missed | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ridolfo | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dublin Green | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Camorra | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Puffery | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rachel’s Blue Moon | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Seeking the Blue | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Orchid Party | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tee Up | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Velvet Trinni | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Irish Glitter | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Reyana Reya Dreams | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Jurere | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 4 | Princess Akris | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Lucky Bug | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Forever Rising | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Scripted | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Mazmania | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Princess Mikayah | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Little Nanny | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Sweet Breeze | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Holding Aces | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Cerro (IRE) | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | War Eagle’s Return | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Forest Blue | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fortuitous Path | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Ranger in Paradise | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | S. S. Minnow | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Conquest Twister | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Polar Jet | 0.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | New York’s Finest | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | American Guru | 1.40 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Yummy Bear | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | The Crocheron Kid | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lord of Love | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dirty | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Conquest Bandit | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Sumner | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Beyond the Green | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | River of Dreams | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Acoustic | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Baseline | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Sparty Boy | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Baratti | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cheyenne Bull | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | E J’s Legacy | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Glennrichment | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Lost Iron | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Snake Oil Charlie | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wilshire Star | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.