April 15, 2018 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Interlaken | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Octoberfest | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Allthewrongreasons | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Yankton | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Rucksack | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Terrible Day (ARG) | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Take the Count | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Esperanzadelcompa | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Kiwi Cat | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Jenna J | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | About That Base | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Iron Lilly | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Funny Holiday | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Princess Lu Lu | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mizzen Air | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ashleys Magens Bay | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Skeptic | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Thread the Needle | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tequila Sunrise | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Agreeable | 4.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Evening Tide | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mizzen Colony | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Actress On Board | 4.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ghosted | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Go Metro Girl | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | High Fashion Star | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Southerngirlsrock | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Money Purse | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Cape Time | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eternal Vow | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | On the Come | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Global Warm Me | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | L. A. Way | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Bel Canto | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Boomerang Baby | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | American Alphabet | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Hieroglyphics | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Tweet Kitten | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Profiteer | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | King and His Court | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Zulu Alpha | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 4 | Vettori Kin (BRZ) | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Final Copy | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Jess I Am | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Team Colors | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Italian Charm | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Giant Payday | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Santino | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Krissys Manicure | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Katie’s Reward | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Line Drive | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mo Flash | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shared Silence | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | So Aristocratic | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Dark Secret | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Waki Patriot | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Phantom Opening | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Tizahandful | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | San Sebastiana (GB) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Ellens Birthday | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10A | 10 | So Charming | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Altered Mind | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Must Be Dreaming | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Evasive Storm | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Pistol Packin Rose | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Summer Luck | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 16A | 7 | Mzima Springs | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mischievous Champ | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Red Dane (ITY) | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Dreamadreamforme | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 15 | 6 | Leeloo’s Journey | 50.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Trivial | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Recruiting Ready | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Yorkton | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eight Town | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Heartwood | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dan the Go to Man | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Harmac | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vici | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Catholic Cowboy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Line Judge | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Shareholder Value | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Hollywood Critic | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ironclad | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hardly a Secret | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gorgeous Bird | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Catinati | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Red Again | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.