April 15, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Weekend Mischief | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fontanazza | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dancie | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Untrue | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cotton Tooyah | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flora Fantasy | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Who’s Calling | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Return | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Perfect Fox | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Grace’s Drama | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Diamond Love | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Classic Act | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Taco Wayne’s Shot | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Don’t Talk Back | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Proud Legacy | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Durven | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Appealing Lalibela | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | First Mistress | 1.40 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pretty Shea D | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | High Candy | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Forlove | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fighting Glory | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ashlie Nicole | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Treasure Time | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lady Blessings | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Can’tcatchtheraxx | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Murray’s Girl | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | A J’s Amex | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Miss Cay O’Sea | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cashless Society | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | My Little Princess | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Proper Princess | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Intactus | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Gamer Girl | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Italian Smile | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dreaming of Aca | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Stalwart | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nadiaes Image | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Star Mily | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tale of Preseli | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cousin Tino | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Gran Network | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Davids Boy | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bakelite | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crest of Eden | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Brandt | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | D’rock | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | King Nephrite | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Judge Hudson | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chief White Sox | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Go Cristian Go | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Smart Dude | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Calling Disco | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Diamond Mint | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stone Heart | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | New Champion | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Zhukov | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grand Jr | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Aristteles | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Remember the Maine | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Devise | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Freudian Fall | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Downrange | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dependable Phil | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Soldat’s Storm | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Can’ttakeitwithyou | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Roble Cayeyano | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stay On Base | 15.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | One Bad Hombre | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | General McGooby | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fearless Dragon | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sheikh of Sheikhs | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Diddley | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unbridled Holiday | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gemologister | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bombs Away | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Seuss | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mr Atila | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kelly Tough | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hookup | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Asterisk | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Al Khor | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Top of the Page | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Dutches of Sparkle | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Vouvray | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Tijuana Dancer | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Maminka | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Harbin Ice | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grace B | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Candy Sue | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wolf Eyes | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cotton Time | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tinca’s Bird | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiebaj | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Charming Hostess | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Adios Mia | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bozzineta | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.