April 14, 2018 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Foreverinyourfavor | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Urbane Legend | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | La Fee Verte | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Union Obsession | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Indigirka | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Blue Magic | 1.60 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Spann Lane | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Glitter Appeal | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mahdia | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Our Turn | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Ruler of the Nile | 1.20 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Pryor | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Penalty | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | He Takes Charge | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Caymans Cobra | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Oskar Blues | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Front Door | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | Straightaway May | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | My Apparition | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | One Fine Ride | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Jericho | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Seeking Blame | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Laureato | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Shakurr | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Risky Town | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Entertainer | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flash Harry | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mun Up | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Out of the Office | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Rocket Warrior | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blarney | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Trappe Valley | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Better Watch Out | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Zambian Dream (CHI) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Brerry | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Great Minds | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Rise Up | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Han Sense | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bee Jersey | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Icatiro | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Action Everyday | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Frammento | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Silver Dust | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12A | 12 | Dahog | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Extricate | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bird’s Eye View | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Convict Pike | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zorzor | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Infinite Midnight | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sun Lover (GB) | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Norco | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Capture the Glory | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sekondi | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Yes Mon | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | All Hansens Ondeck | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Octoberfest | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Animus | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | A Bag of Money | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Stuart Hall | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Love Nest | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Travelling Midas | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Graham’s Way | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cavaradossi | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brave Nation | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Just Whistle | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Arkadag | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Victory Lane | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rushin Tothecircle | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Royal Edition | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gambit | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Indigo Yankee | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Ben Ali S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Chip Leader | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hollywood Handsome | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rated R Superstar | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rafting | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Aurora Way | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Giuseppe the Great | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Guest Suite | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Giant’s Causeway S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Girls Know Best | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Lady Aurelia | 0.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jennifer Lynnette | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Storm the Hill | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Morticia | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Triple Chelsea | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | There’syourtrouble | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Brave Daisey | 50.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady to the Max | 50.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Excessivespending | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Stonestreet Lexington S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Magicalmeister | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Battle At Sea | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 10 | My Boy Jack | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Telekinesis | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Gracida | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Pony Up | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Greyvitos | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Zanesville | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Seven Trumpets | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Navy Armed Guard | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Arched Feather | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Honor Up | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Coolmore Jenny Wiley S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | La Coronel | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sistercharlie (IRE) | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dona Bruja (ARG) | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Fourstar Crook | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Proctor’s Ledge | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Off Limits (IRE) | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bletchley (GB) | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cambodia | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ultra Brat | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kitten’s Roar | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lovely Bernadette | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Pennyann’s Inn | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Brassy and Sassy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Buddy Ann | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Mizzen Colony | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Sugar Included | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 9 | Desert Isle | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Alberobello | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Silla Manila | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | My Sister’s Keeper | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Song of Mine | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hanalei Moon | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spark Joy | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Let’s Roll | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Urban Insight | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Lady Creed | 50.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Hazel Ann I Am | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.