April 12, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Maddy’s Salsa | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sara’s Day | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Song of Melody | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Sophia’s Star | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Trini Pleasure | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Red Sails | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Be Kind | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vitaemi | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Queen Lizzie | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Forty’s Sweetheart | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Princess Knoll | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Loving Valentina | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Arch Legacy | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fiore | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Motion’s First | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Indominus | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Jai Blue | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fortune Cookie | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stronger | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Oh My Warrior | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miago | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Agujero | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Holiday | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gran King of Kings | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Shellshackup | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Mo’s Ginny | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Michelle’z Laugh | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Run Blondie Run | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | My Sweet Lorraine | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grandtastic News | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Baby Isabella | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Devuelta | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Draft | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Razzy’s Reward | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Saturado | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Jersey Street | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Twistcat Candy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Deneb | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hyatt’s Dude | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Walterjeep | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Arpinella | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Offshore Trip | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Southern Cal | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Smiling Mason | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mongolian Party | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Our Boss | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Beta Max | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Manhattan Project | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Apatow | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Christmas Treat | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Crown to the Gold | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Count Archibald | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Alperes | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beach Treasure | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mr. Mac | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Up to Eleven | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Two Step Alpha | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mr Joshua | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Singanothersong | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Local Hero | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Silver Defense | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vencedor | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Force | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Barry Karafin Bets | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Scam | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Furiosa | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Classy Dancer | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Final Form | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Helen | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Glossy | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hope’s Roar | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lisa Limon | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kabuki | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gift of Glory | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Toonie Loonie | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Mardi Gras Girl | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Mother’s Day | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Shasta Moon | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Itsmyluckycharm | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sweetsweetsweet | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Valkyrie Gold | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cookie Dough | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nancysaidso | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Global Beauty Coco | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Zoe My Love | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Legacy to Gold | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.