April 8, 2018 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Analyze This Cat | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Dragic | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Shanghai Fantasy | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Dreaming Diamonds | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Ixtepec Town | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Stillwater Cove | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Luna Nueva | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Ghostly Halo | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Boucan | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Lucky Girasol | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Giro Kate | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Brooklynn’s Shadow | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | La Coyota | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kiwi Cat | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Diamonds for Leah | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Ring Knocker | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Drop Dead Red | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Proud Dixie | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Miss Shawhan | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Play the Break | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Daisy Queen | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Stellar Stiletto | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Athens Queen | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Toy Moon | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cafe Mischief | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Our Miss Mo | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Small Row Girl | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Kukoo Kunuku | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Baytown Lindy | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Shanghai Rain | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Luv This Lifestyle | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Run Chuy Run | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | No Limit Babe | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bendecida | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Tofino | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Flawsome | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Lady Creed | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Brand New Game | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Wild N Ready | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Persepolis | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kallio | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | I’m Pretty Strong | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | War Cabinet | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Necessary | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Joy of Treasure | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Snuck Out | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Valya’s Vengeance | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sippin Kitten | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Off the List (IRE) | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Altos Street | 50.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Mia Bella Rossa | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Gingermore | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16A | 16 | Yearning | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Surfina | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Vacanzie Inn | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | See the Bird | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prom Theme | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Budget Cut | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | She Loves Leather | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ivy’s College Fund | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pomeroys Uprising | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mercer Slough | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8A | 8 | Desert Maria | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alittlebourbon | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Starship Aquarius | 50.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Littlebitcranky | 50.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Space Mountain | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Guest Suite | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Icatiro | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Yolo Mon | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Are You Kidding Me | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | One Mean Man | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Shakhimat | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 7 | Inspector Lynley | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Offering Plan | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Blacktype (FR) | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Master Merion | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Serjeant At Arms (IND) | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Dragon Bay | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Granny’s Kitten | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Coco Mon | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Beaumont S. Presented By Keeneland Select
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dream It Is | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Summer Sunday | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gas Station Sushi | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Happy Like a Fool | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | In the Mood | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Uppercut | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kelly’s Humor | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sunny Skies | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Upset Brewing | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Appalachian S. Presented By Japan Racing Association
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ultima D | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Cash Out | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Thewayiam (FR) | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rushing Fall | 1.40 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Heavenly Love | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Goodthingstaketime (IRE) | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dixie Moon | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Daddy Is a Legend | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Beach Waltz | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lounge Act | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’s Pretty Lucky | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15A | 15 | Pain in the Arch | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Jon Knowsthecode | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Zarski | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Daddy’s Placer | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Accusing | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7A | 7 | Clearly Super | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Road Heat | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Potomac | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lord Revelstoke | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sacred Walk | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Robert | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Marriage Counselor | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Bluebird Box | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Torba | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Black Bomber | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.