April 7, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Zusha | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mela Jones | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whirling | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Now Blessed | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hot Autumn | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | On a Toot | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Star Kissed | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Trust in Love | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Paint Me Lucky | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Golden Gladiator | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | More Honor | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Frenchmen Street | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eskimo Roses | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Desert Stone (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Holly Blame | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Alfareed | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Implicitly | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Scat Big Dad | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rumpus Cat | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | California King | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Courtship | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rossman | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Taniko | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Super Duper Cooper | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kona Coast | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Curly’s Waterfront | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Arch Prince | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trustworthy | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | For Him | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bacoli | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Evening Jewel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Show It N Moe It | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One Fast Broad | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spiced Perfection | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smiling Tigress | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Empress of Lov | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blessed Lady | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ismelucky | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wishful | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Providencia S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Florista (IRE) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Paved | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ms Bad Behavior | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fatale Bere (FR) | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pulpit Rider | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lexington Grace (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Retro | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Treasuring (GB) | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Deep Breath (IRE) | 50.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Echo Eddie S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Heck Yeah | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Take the One O One | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rewired | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Psycho Dar | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fire When Ready | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shaymin | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Campaigner | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Generally Lucky | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sawyer’s Hill | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Mesut | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cascade Rock (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Accountability | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Avalanche | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tartini | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Malibu Music | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dreams of Valor | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fortune of War (GB) | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Elwood J | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Midnight Pleasure | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Conqueror | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Clever Royal | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rocko’s Wheel | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stone Hands | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sheer Flattery | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sigur Ros | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pioneer Lad | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Fast Munny | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Swayze | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Santa Anita Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bolt d’Oro | 1.20 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Justify | 0.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Instilled Regard | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Core Beliefs | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jimmy Chila | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pepe Tono | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Orbit Rain | 50.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Royal Heroine S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Enola Gray | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Madame Stripes (ARG) | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beau Recall (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thundering Sky | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Crossing (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sassy Little Lila | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sophie P (GB) | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Instant Reflex | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mongolian Shopper | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Santa Anita Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Spectator | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Bisou | 1.20 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Thirteen Squared | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spring Lily | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | We All Have Dreams | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Exuberance | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Finess Bere (FR) | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fool’s Paradise | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | First Dudette | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Starlite Style | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Hachi (CHI) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Pantsonfire (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Laseen (IRE) | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | The Tulip (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Queen Blossom (IRE) | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Majestic Angel | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dalsaros | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Arch of Troy | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ms Wakaya | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Stakes) – Hh Sheikha Fatima Bint Mubarak S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | EASTER MAN | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | QUICK SAND AA | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | RB NASH | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | DREAM PEARL | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | UPTOWN SANDY GIRL | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | MAHRA T | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | SAND VICTOR | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | ZELLS BELLS | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | CAPTAIN BUSH | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | MYSTICAL MHF | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | LIL DUDE AA | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | RB HOCUS POCUS | 30.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.