April 7, 2018 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Joe’s Gift | 1.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1A | 6 | Enduring Erin | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Marnesia Big Girl | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 3 | Navajo Kitten | 2.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Don’s Escapade | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Lucky Greatness | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Backyard Boogie | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sunshine Sperry | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rarest Quality | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wizard of Odds | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zartax | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rocket Man Richie | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smarty Mr D | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | December Red | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Vocab | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tipit | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vegas Strip | 2.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Montauk Man | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Billy Badpay | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Annie’s Big Boy | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Surfing U S A | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Skyline Drive | 1.40 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mercy | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bird of Prey | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Letthemooseloose | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Weekend Babe | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beatubyachubinose | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aggreysive | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Jessica Krupnick | 1.40 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1A | 4 | Risque’s Diamond | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Hey Braciole | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Lirica | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Isabella Swift | 1.60 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Aunt Rose | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pinkout | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sheikinator | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 1 | Ro Bear | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Matador | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Master Yank | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cousin Stephen | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Only You | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2X | 9 | County Corrections | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kingslayer | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Philly Completely | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Bowman’s Beast | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Brix | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Scherzo | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 1 | J. J.’s Candy | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Tactical Plan | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1A | 8 | Don Lupe | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Snow Fighter | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 6 | Hodor | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Burntwood | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Thefundsarelow | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Pinatubo | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | They Shot Sonny | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bang the Drum | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Howboutthemcowboys | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Appealing Future | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | This Might Be | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | El Tocayo | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | She’s Spoiled | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Bluegrass Gold | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kodoula | 1.20 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Federica | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | High Math | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Glosky | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Persky’s Spirit | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mary Sue Weloveyou | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Racey Bike | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.