April 6, 2018 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 8 | My Perfect Graydar | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Strike Play | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 6 | Blazin Liason | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Onthewaytonevrland (IRE) | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | True Saint | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Elle Factor | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Baytown Jimbo | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Duke of Monroe | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Zip’s Secret | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Big Max | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Nineteenth Street | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kirby’s Penny | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Domer | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Annathela | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I’mluckysgirl | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tu Se Manques | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 11 | Stage Left | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | No Picture Charlie | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 7 | Dixie Highway | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | No Bang No Boom (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Myhotrodlincoln | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Baytown Macca | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Infantry | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Shanghaied Roo | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Del La Hoya | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Mr. Granite | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Jabba Jaws | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Leaf Blower | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Resonate | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Heaven’s Creation | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Pebble Slinger | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Colombe | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Valiant Reason | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ladonia | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Elenathena | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Glitterati Gal | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Stylitude | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Safari Heart | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Trilby | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Little Patriot | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Beautiful Street | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hold Her Tight | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Devine Mischief | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Classy Music | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | So Refined | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Belles Orb | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mauk’s Tuff | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Silver Dust | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Uncle Mitcho | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Soglio | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Iconic | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Business Expense | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Devamani (FR) | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | General Kitten | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Southern Wild | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Misspent Youth | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Compass Zone | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nice Not Nice | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ragtime Rebel | 50.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lo’s Journey | 50.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zumurudee | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Almithmaar | 1.60 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moon Unit | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Corot | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Boots | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | D Squared | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Kaitlin’s Warrior | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Just Like Richie | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Windy Cape | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Willcat | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sassy King | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Astrollinthepark | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Kentucky | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sister Kan | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shar Ran | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wheatfield | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dreamin | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Day by Day | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Legacy | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miner’s Cat | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Kentucky Utilities Transylvania S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Determinant | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Captivating Moon | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Analyze It | 1.40 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Golden Dragon | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Admiralty Pier | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Maraud | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dragon Drew | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Beer Pressure | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Funny Duck | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tap Daddy | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tigers Rule | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | King Valero | 50.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Liberty Lane | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whateverybodywants | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | El Bonito | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Under and Over | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Handy Candy | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Double Sence | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Baku Dancer | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Promises to Keep | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Etruscan | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tabaddol | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bold Shot | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fulkerson | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.