April 6, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Candygram | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Earned Success | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Belt High | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dr. Hipp | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Never Nevermore | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Seethisquick | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Nonna’s Boy | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Spring Emperor | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Callant | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Two Down One to Go | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Open Bar | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Pigeon | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ring Necked | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Felix in Fabula | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lutheran Rags | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hot Mesa | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Davka | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Binkster | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whyamisolucky | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Infield Is In | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Royal Inheritance | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Picture Day | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Abbreviate | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Epping Forest | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jumby Bay | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Madame Dubois (SAF) | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Watch Your Six | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kasuga | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Touch of Bling | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Annie Rocks | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Pretentious | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Polar City | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Distorted Admiral | 1.40 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Celtic Scout | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Side Tracks | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Facade | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Honor and Pleasure | 30.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Luzinski | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quai Voltaire | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Mama’s Red Hat | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Buy for Less | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | You Promise | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Neon | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Mikayah | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flying Pleasantly | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Catania Rose | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mahvelous Marie | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sassy Humor | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | The Cake Is a Lie | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Lady Rullah | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Wantagh Queen | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 8 | Rock Ave. Road | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Awsum Roar | 1.20 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Puparee | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Ribbonite | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Carry Your Heels | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Head Shrinker | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Cats Halo | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Purrageous Dyna | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Distaff H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Highway Star | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Sounds Delicious | 1.60 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Holiday Disguise | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Divine Miss Grey | 1.80 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Picco Uno | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Torrent | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Berned | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Anydayismyday | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Simma Cum Laude | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | O Shea Can U See | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Gold Cross | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Susans Funnybone | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Can’tweallgetalong | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Mr. Skittles | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Miracolo | 10.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Playboy Johnny | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Guy American Dream | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Decadence | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nucks | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Scrutinize | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.