March 31, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Milton Freewater | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Go Ghetto | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rick’s Dream | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rocky’s Show | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Twirling Tiger | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jay Makes Us Laugh | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Levitation | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Crown the Kitten | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Secreto Primero | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Temple Keys | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cardiac | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bourbon Soul | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Landwade Lad (GB) | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Buymeabond | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sunny Kat | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Spend It | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vegas Itch | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lighthouse Point | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Defense Minister | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Williston Dude | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Seeker | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Son of the South | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dixie Rival | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Santana Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Air Vice Marshal | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Cat Burglar | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dr. Dorr | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Clear the Mine | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | The Lieutenant | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Tiz Toffee | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Into Glamour | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | International Diva (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Unchaining Melody (GB) | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No Wine Untasted | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Animosity | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sheza Factor | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vegas Palm | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Garrulous Gal | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Del Mar Babe | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Baladera | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fire to the Wire | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Liberty Jack | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Informality | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Run Like Rhett | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chrisiscookin | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Marvelous Max | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Summer Buddha | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | States Hero | 50.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Salten Sapity | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Beau Square | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tizanillusion | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | War Moccasin | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Glorious Hour | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ruby Trust | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gotham Desire | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lightning Dove | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Demigoddess | 50.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Persistence (IRE) | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | On the Fence | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Milhaud | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Pampers n’ Boots | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bitte | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | True Ranger | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Upperclassman | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Magical More | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Amodei | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Big Hearted | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Southern Warlord | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Honeymoonz Over | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | El Asesino | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Joeray | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Treasure Hunter | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Elevated Knight | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Luke’s On Fire | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jimmythisnjimthat | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Infuriated Gary | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lolly Express | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Kings River King | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Closing Time | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | El Tovar | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Preacher Roe | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dr. Troutman | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Alsatian | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Green With Eddie | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ibon | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nap Lajoie | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lord Admiral | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kenny Benny | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mostly Cloudy | 50.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.