March 31, 2018 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Economies of Scale |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
7 |
Lilt |
1.80 |
2 |
4-1 |
3 |
2 |
Bella Verde |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dance Proposal |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
3 |
What a Star |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
Smart Emma |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
4 |
Soft Cheese |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
6 |
Essie’s Reward |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Greeleys Charm |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
G. A. Betting |
2.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
McQ |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Rock Star Status |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Magic Command |
6.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Battered |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Amaze |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
8 |
7 |
Son of Pearl |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
9 |
8 |
Misterbulltoyou |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
11 |
10 |
Patriotic American |
15.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
10 |
9 |
After Hours |
15.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Swamp Ruler |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Only Liquor |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
6 |
Oh Newman |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
2 |
Mucho Macho Dan |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
9 |
8 |
Dr. Clark |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Johnny Whip |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
8 |
7 |
Sights and Sounds |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
11 |
9 |
Daftar |
6.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
5 |
4 |
King of Anything |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
6 |
5 |
Vanderbilt Beach |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
4 |
3 |
Serious Talk |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Major Munnings |
4.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Main Road |
3.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bird Orr Brady |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Blame Will |
4.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
11 |
11 |
Dangerfield |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Oso Ready |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
King Deuce |
10.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Starstruck Kitten |
10.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Minefield |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Brave John |
12.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
8 |
8 |
Hugh B. |
15.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Bayerd |
3.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cass in Stone |
4.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Allidoisdreamofyou |
5.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Kahramani |
5.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Marine Pilot |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Surprise Prize |
6.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Opportunistic |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
One King’s Man |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Susan’s Reward |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Musical America |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Shakedown |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
9 |
Gettysburg |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Gray Sky |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
1A |
1 |
Bronze Age |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Soul P Say |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mr Darcy |
5.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
5A |
5 |
Zip Van Winkle |
6.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Rowdy the Warrior |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sabrena’s Bling |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
9 |
8 |
Factor Me In |
15.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Take Charge Dude |
3.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Pure Shot |
1.80 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Grade One |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Eternal Force |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tin Badge |
4.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Back Stage Boy |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Private Vigilante |
10.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Deflater |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
14 |
14 |
Song of the Nile |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Greeley Can Win |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Spanish Mane |
4.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dixie Fever |
3.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Intimidating |
6.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Forbidden Kitten |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Rookie Season |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Firehorn |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Cowboy Creed |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Seven Nation Army |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
11 |
11 |
Ravens Reflection |
15.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Wicked Gem |
8.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mr. Lovejoy |
15.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Freeze Line |
10.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Rainbow Miss S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Zippy Lou |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
4 |
Georgia’s Reward |
1.80 |
2 |
4-1 |
6 |
5 |
Dutch Treat |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Firewater Rocket |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Usual Suspect |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Spunky Town |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Wicked West |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
6 |
Council Rules |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
8 |
7 |
Titfortat |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
American Holiday |
5.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
4 |
3 |
Alina’s Image |
4.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
5 |
Louise’s Legacy |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
2 |
Alittlecomplicated |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
10 |
9 |
City Seduction |
15.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
9 |
8 |
May Be Suspect |
12.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
5 |
4 |
Includere |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.