March 31, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Baba Tobi |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Star Juancho |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Reason to Soar |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Noble Drama |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Florida Cotton |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Transistor |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Blinding |
15.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Emperor John |
6.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Two Pops |
10.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
11 |
10 |
Torch Bearer |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Twas Nero |
30.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
16 |
16 |
Dawnibug |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Little Miss May |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Momenta Kat |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Ballylin |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
12 |
11 |
Miss Aliphant |
4.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Casa Bonita |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
14 |
13 |
Peggity |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Midnight Buffet |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Rigel’s Halo |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
She’s No Joke |
30.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Red Sails |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
10 |
10 |
Devuelta |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tiki Bar Queen |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
4 |
4 |
Potra Liza |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
5 |
5 |
Run Gal Run |
30.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
13 |
12 |
Monja |
30.00 |
10.2 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Martini Kid |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Solve |
2.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Model Citizen |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Chiseled |
4.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Aces for John |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
12 |
11 |
Big Boy Bruno |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Recalibrating |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Jaiden’s Best |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Over Limit |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Dizzy Gillespie |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
Donegal Hall |
20.00 |
8.7 |
17-1 |
10 |
10 |
Panzer Barcelona (VEN) |
20.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Cutler Bay S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Speed Franco |
1.20 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Salmanazar |
2.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Therapist |
3.00 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Neepawa |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Nauti Buoy |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
The Dow |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Sanibel Island S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Best Performance |
1.60 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Amertume |
3.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Figarella’s Queen |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Got Stormy |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Originator |
6.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ferdinanda |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tocame Linda |
15.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Unstablenthemornin |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Remington Rose |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Art Major |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
11 |
Flying Emerald |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
4 |
3 |
Honey Hearts |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Miss Marisol |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Amor Elvira |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
14 |
12 |
Rethinkme |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
7 |
6 |
Second Illusion |
10.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
6 |
5 |
Kresses |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
10 |
9 |
Momma Tries |
30.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
9 |
8 |
Divine Diva |
20.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
8 |
7 |
Perla Preciosa |
20.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
1 |
1 |
Two Diamonds |
30.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
12 |
10 |
Little Tita |
30.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Special Trip |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Legend Emma (IRE) |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Summer Fling |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Style Icon |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Anne Dupree |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sweet Lady |
3.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Naples Lady |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tiz Touch N Go |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
10 |
10 |
Glitz |
20.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Daddysneverready |
15.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Gulfstream Park Hardacre Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Always Dreaming |
1.80 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mr. Jordan |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Irish War Cry |
2.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tommy Macho |
3.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Page McKenney |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Conquest Big E |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Art Collection |
1.80 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Logic |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Wisely |
5.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Dawood |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mr. Discretionary |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
11 |
11 |
Repair the World |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rhode Island |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Sensational Sam |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Outback Bob |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Countryside Drive |
15.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
5 |
5 |
C C Rider |
15.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Weekend Hideaway |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ready for Rye |
4.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Realm |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Richard the Great |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Outplay |
3.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Impressive Edge |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Fayeq |
12.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Rock and Fellers (ARG) |
20.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sweetontheladies |
15.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
11 |
11 |
Cherry Wine |
15.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
5 |
5 |
Always a Suspect |
20.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Honey Fox S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Liberty Kitten |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Lull |
2.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
10 |
9 |
On Leave |
3.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Stormy Victoria (FR) |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Team of Teams |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Grizzel (IRE) |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Res Ipsa |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Conquest Hardcandy |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Glory to Kitten |
10.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Island Reward |
15.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Gulfstream Park Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Heavenhasmynikki |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
C. S. Incharge |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Take Charge Paula |
4.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
9 |
7 |
Princess Warrior |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Blonde Bomber |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cache |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Daisy |
4.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Coach Rocks |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
13 |
11 |
Alter Moon |
30.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
11 |
9 |
Silver Bay |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
12 |
10 |
Mihrab |
15.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
10 |
8 |
Tell Your Mama |
30.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Eight Thirtyone |
30.00 |
9.8 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Stakes) – Pan American S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Bullards Alley |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sadler’s Joy |
2.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Hi Happy (ARG) |
3.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bigger Picture |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
One Go All Go |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Classic Covey |
20.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tiz a Slam |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Markitoff |
15.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Little Nick V. |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 14 (Stakes) – Xpressbet Florida Derby
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Promises Fulfilled |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Strike Power |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Catholic Boy |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Audible |
1.80 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Mississippi |
12.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Storm Runner |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Hofburg |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tip Sheet |
30.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Millionaire Runner |
50.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.