March 31, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Let Us Be Glad | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | St. Louie Guy | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Forevamo | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cool Arrow | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Whiskey Ticket | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Call the Colonel | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Splash Hit | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Miss Lucky | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Lady Soul | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dancing Dove | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Just Cruising | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Electric Kiss | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Kate N Abs Reward | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Purely Blessed | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lavoyageuse Time | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Army Grey | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Hello Tiz | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Dionysus | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 3 | Le Pin (IRE) | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Aggravator | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Treadwell | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Little Sarge | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Reydell | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Walking Solo | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Uncommon Cat | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Timeslikethese | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mack’s Champ | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Classic Brahms | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zar’s Star | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sure Can Do | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Robert E. Lee | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Louisianagentleman | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vicks First Pick | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Logan’s Reward | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Apollo’s Prince | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Domikate | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Vittorioso | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | The Imposter | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Brilliant Interest | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Kid Creole | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Made to Fit | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wildwood Dejavu | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cape Race | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Notimeforthat | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Wine List | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Little Snip | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Concho | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Iquique (FR) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Timuquana Place | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dixie Jewel | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hard Headed Woman | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hopeful Joy | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Super Philly | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dollar Dancer | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | My Silver Oaks | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dewyalovemenow | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lucky for Us | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Bye Bye Shanghai | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Power Song | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Katie’s Cowboy | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Celerity | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Move It Man | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Zero Gravity | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Colonel’s Pride | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Kitten Street | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | You Split Tens | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Achiever | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chosen Vessel | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fidelis | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Simba’s Pride | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sea Vow | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | My Pal Torres | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spring Value | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bam Bam Bryan | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Over Yonder | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Snapper Bite | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Where Y’at Joe Joe | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sid Vicious | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vastjesus | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Why Joey Why | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Evan Lee G | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | A He’s an O’Prado | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 14 | Cadet Captain | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 9 | Svindahl | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Minister’s Strike | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Plug Catcher | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Bob’s Gone Wild | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Firespike | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Candy Carlos | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Boyfriend Brian (IRE) | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Castlederg | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Noisey Boy | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Costa Mesa | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Carnoustie | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Star Guitar S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mobile Bay | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Underpressure | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grande Basin | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nubin Ridge | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mageez | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Paddy O’Lionel | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Morning Mischief | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Theoryintopractice | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 9 | Wild About Star | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 11 | D J Soul Sista | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 12 | Lilbitofjam | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Tensas Thought | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 10 | New Orleans Spice | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 4 | Molly Rules | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Tough Kicks | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Eskenformore | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Half Fast Rose | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Cajun English | 10.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 13 | Mariah’s Galaxy | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 1A | 5 | Juno’s Starlet | 8.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Jo Jo’s Wine | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Honest Woman | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Cindy Marie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Sofia Kape | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | My Nilla | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Twilight Star | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Carson’s Prospect | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gone Pecan | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Wanna Snuggle | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Minion Money | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Suckerforagrey | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | X Minus One | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Powered by Greeley | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | She’s Our Star | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Waft | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.