March 30, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Jane Ran a Double | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Commanding Action | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Syrup Cake | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Carson’s Katie | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Casual Cool | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Palmettovowmenot | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Anytime Baby | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Reese’s Glory | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Amazon Warrior | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Mix and Mingle | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Peloncillo | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Unfading Beauty | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tiz Cecile | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ravish | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Midna | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Soco Unbridled | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Pummy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | War Letters | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Bowknot Billy | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shaniko’s Secret | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | They Call Me Seb | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Off On Holiday | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gone Lucky | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Ellerbe | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tall Story | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Grand Ty | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Fire Blaster | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | It’s Mike’s Turn | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jake the Band Man | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Run Away Ralph | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I’m a C Looker | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Warned | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pops Legacy | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Stuck in Vegas | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nunc Pro Tunc | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | C’Mon Ve | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Smooth Colliery | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Saltee Stark | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Social Cat | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Neon Sky | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | A Place Remembered | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mikey’s Mouse | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Personal Double | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Letithappenquick | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Doug’s Bug | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Bammmeister | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Mischievous Dancer | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Just Old School | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Vanquish | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Warrior Inside | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Run Your Race | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Landonese | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silent Wave | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tin Roof Rusted | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ryman | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jennovodka | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cowboy Don | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mommy’s Soldier | 30.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Southern Reserve | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Power Strike | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Pain in the Arch | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Take the Count | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 5 | Landing Gear | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Come On Dover | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Garey Park | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Channel Won | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Run Adrian Run | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hardly Seen Slim | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Binding Magic | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Carson’s Prospect | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Bella Cajun | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Time Key | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Stella’s Surprise | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 9 | Shakopee Town | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Is Too | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Flat Out Sassy | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Emily Jo | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Miss Uruguay | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Miss Billie K | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Go Della Go | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | A Pretty Face | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Glorieta | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Flat Out Big Money | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Fashion’s Touch | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Warrior’s Way | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Perfect Poet | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Concord Coupe | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Backseat Promises | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Amirite | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whatwillbewillbe | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hay Latte Latte | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Caterina Iano | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | La Flor | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blushing Kitten | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Zippy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Maga Man | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Oneholylion | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Charge the Line | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Singing Deacon | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Titanium Bill | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Aw Shucks | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cowboy City | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Vapor Viper | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jalen Hurts | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Exigent | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Yella Wally Gator | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Anything But Amie | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Sophie’s Illusion | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Saintly Cry | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Starfish Point | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Rowdy N Pearls | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wise Journey | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Grand Fais Do Do | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Star Formula | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Clara’s Reign | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Dagal | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Straight | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Deez Jitterbug | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.