March 29, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Best of the Bleu’s | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Curzon Street | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cookies Are Good | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | West Village | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | North Hullen | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vibe | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Czarmo | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Reine des Animaux | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Dixie Brees | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Sashimi Blaster | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sweet Pea Mama Ve | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lurey An | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Forgotten | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bermuda Star | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | I’m Flashy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Angelic Gem | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Green Lakes | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Abboccato | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Strikingly Smart | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Above Reproach | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 7 | Star Gaze | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Kehron’s Creed | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Our Diamond | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Tacky’s Star | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Striking Femme | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Open Interest | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Avery Lynn | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Candy Rail | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Sunny Sister | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Nyla Girl | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Minister of War | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Presli’s Argument | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Cinco Cinco Diez | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Skipadee Due Da | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Native Wahoo | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ardesia | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pound of Hundreds | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Frisky Breeze | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Noisy | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Skipping Light | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Infinite Verses | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Meg and Clair | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Word of the Day | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mrs Rocco | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Royal Road | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bringyourownbottle | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bella Moon | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Color Me Pretty | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Swanky | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lunaris | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Guitar King | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Taruca | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | United Patriot | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Flatexcel | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Cash Reward | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Killeen | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Burnt Bluff | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wildscore | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | In Charge Halo | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Smooth Colliery | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | A Place Remembered | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Tensas Talk | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 15 | Stuck in Vegas | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Swinging Greeley | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 10 | Born Again George | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Delaware Basin | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bound West | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tensas’s Boy | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tale of the Prince | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Picacho Peak | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Discreetly D | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | El Hombre | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Whatelse Igot Todo | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | A P’s Winner | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Miracle Mountain | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Flashy Image | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Julie’s Jackpot | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Halifax | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 7 | Findley Isle | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 14 | 10 | Midnight Candle | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Ida’s Warrior | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | Mansoor | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Chuck’s Quest | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Rollin Smoke | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sparkys Surprise | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | French Command | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Dontwishfortrouble | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blushing Dreamer | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Tamy’s Shot | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Girls Life | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Custom Paint Job | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Stout Margaret | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Starry Ide Elaine | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ide Better Move | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Our Foolish Girl | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I B Sweet | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Estrella | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lil Miss Grey | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | D’wild Irish Rose | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Toni’s Vow | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.