March 25, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Can She Scoot | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Perfect Giant | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Very Elegant | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Harambe | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Show’em the Heat | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ms Advisor | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alamo Star | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jewels of Sorce | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Just Stormin | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Zarb’s Gift | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ninety One Assault | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Well’s Gold | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fee Do | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Southern Mister | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | King Cake | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cameron Rules | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | No One Greater | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Social Cat | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Cajun Carmelized | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Flashyboy Bobb | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | C C Harris | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sharp Machete | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Nebulas | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Victory Bind | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bayou Bode | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Two Utes | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Jr’s Sauvage | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Band Boss | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Jinx Johnson | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 9 | Mrs Rocco | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | To Be Famous | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Market Top | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Court of Love | 1.80 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Aikenetta | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | My Kinda Devil | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bettyblue | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Another Level | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Don’t Tell Brandi | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Jianna’s Pal | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Dance | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz de Lovely | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | One Shot to Win | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Boiler Babe | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | O’Hara | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vernacular | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Staytruetodagame | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Last Tap | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Paper Doll | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Stage Show | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Specialeyes | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Worthy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Kid Pichongo | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | I’m a Lawman | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 7 | Carson Kan | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Gridiron Cat | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Chasin Gracie | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Oscarific | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Prados Way | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Mistake Present | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Butta Got Uncs Bac | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 7 | Gone Blues | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Abounding Joy | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Talk Veuve to Me | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Faith in Jimmy | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1A | 5 | Fancy Fox | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Bronze Charm | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 3 | Spontaneous | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Goldemeister | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sugar Included | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Tenacious Faith | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Kilroy Was Here | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Wildscore | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Fred’stwirlincandy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 8 | Soul Beam | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ezmosh | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Midnight Clear | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Shadow Sphinx | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Caymans Cobra | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Morning Stride | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | El Rubio | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dubby Dubbie | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | King of Candy | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | G’s Turn | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Victory Shout | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Rockin Rusty Rue | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Thunder Alley | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Heavenly Gem | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ride a Saint | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bayou Banjo | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | My Pal Kay | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Two Date | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quiet Prince | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Greeley’s Kreem | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Whoajoey | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.